Monday, June 16, 2014

MLB Ejection & Replay Review Stats: Week 11 Sabermetrics

Ejection & Instant Replay Review Statistics and Sabermetrics are now available for MLB Week 10. As the numbers and trends solidify, Close Call Sports and the Umpire Ejection Fantasy League continues with the strategic statistics reporting, the first measure of umpire-centric sabermetrics in professional baseball. Visit Instant Replay Review Statistics 101: Week 1 Sabermetrics for an introduction to Ejection & Replay Review definitions and terms, including Review Affirmation Percentage (RAP), also known as QOC (Quality of Correctness), Replay Percentage of Success (RPS), alternatively, 1.000 - RAP = RPS, and Manager's Challenge Success Percentage (CSP). Also included is Team Success Percentage (TSP), which includes all Replay Reviews; both Manager's Challenges and Crew Chief Reviews.

With Week 11 of the MLB Regular Season in the books, the UEFL recaps traditional ejections, plus professional baseball's "this time it counts" living experiment with Instant Replay Reviews.

We begin this week's sabermetric analysis with umpire ejections. Games Played: 1033 of 2430.
Ejections: 94 (on pace for 221 [+11 from last wk] Ejections). (Compare to: 180 Ejections in 2013)
"Team most active" (Team with most Ejections): Boston Red Sox - 9 (Colorado Rockies - 7).
"Team least active" (Team with least Ejections): LA Angels, CLE Indians, MIN Twins, SD Ps - 1.
"Manager ejections leader" (Manager ejected most often): Rick Renteria - 4 (1.000 QOC Y).
"Player ejections leader" (Player ejection leader): Andrus, Kemp, Murphy, Tulowitzki - 2.
"Umpire leader" (Umpire with most Ejections): Jordan Baker, Dan Bellino - 5.
"Crew most active" (Crew Chief whose crew has most Ejections): Cederstrom, Culbreth - 8.
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest Simple QOC): Basner, Tim Timmons - 1.000 in 3/3.
"Overall QOC percentage" (Overall QOC Y value): .785 (51 Y / 14 N) + 29 Irrecusable = 94 Total.
"Team Status Pre-Ejection" (Winning-Losing-Tied [W-L-T] Record prior to Ejection): 22-51-21.
"Team Status Post-Ejection" (Game Record [W-L]): 36-58. (Delta: 14-7; WPCT: .667).

Next up is the category of Instant Replay Reviews.
Replay Reviews & Decisions Rendered: 524 (on pace for 1,232 [+19 from last wk] Replay Reviews)
- Crew Chief Reviews (Replay Reviews initiated by the Umpire Chief): 80 (15%), .729 RAP.
- Manager's Challenges (Replay Reviews initiated by the Club Manager): 444 (85%), .415 RAP.
"Team Most Used" (Made use of Replay Review most often): Tampa Bay Rays - 26.
"Team Least Used" (Least use of Replay): Milwaukee Brewers - 10.
"Manager's Challenge Leaders" (Most challenges filed): Joe Maddon, Rick Renteria - 24.
"Most successful Manager" (Manager with highest CSP): Mike Redmond - .857 (12/14).
"League average Manager" (Average CSP for all Managers): .507.
"Least successful Manager" (Manager with lowest CSP): Mike Matheny - .222 (2/9).
"Most successful team in review" (Team with highest TSP): Marlins, Giants - .722 (13/18).
"Least successful team in review" (Team with lowest TSP): Cincinnati Reds - .214 (3/14).
"Umpire most questioned" (Most Replay Reviews): Jim Reynolds - 13 (.615 RAP).
"Crew most questioned" (Crew Chief whose crew has most Reviews): Larry Vanover, Jerry Layne - 33.
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest RAP): Chris Guccione - 1.000 in 6/6.
"Ump of greatest overturn" (Umpire with lowest RAP): Gosney, Randazzo, Scheurwater - .000 in 0/2.
"Overall affirmation or QOC percentage" (Overall RAP): .529 (277/524 Affirmed Replay Reviews).
Team Status Pre-Review (Winning or Losing prior to review [Win-Loss-Tied]): 174-216-129.
Team Status Post-Review (Game Record [W-L]): 242-277. (Delta: 68-61; WPCT: .527).

Actual data (Raw Data for Replay Reviews):
- By Inning: 8 (69), 9 (65), 6 (64), 7 (63), 5 (59), 3 (53), 1 (47), 4 (46), 2 (40), Extra Innings (17).
- By Type: Safe/Out (402), HR/Not HR (40), Rule 7.13 (22), HBP/Foul (19), Catch/Trap (11).
- By Day of Week: Sun (95), Sat (84), Wed (80), Mon (71), Fri (68), Thurs (64), Tues (62).

Teams Most Used - Quantity of Replay Reviews (both Crew Chief & Manager's Challenge)
1. Tampa Bay Rays: 26 (1 Crew Chief Review [1.000 RAP], 25 Challenges [.720 RAP]).
2. Chicago Cubs: 25 (1 Crew Chief Review [1.000 RAP], 24 Challenges [.500 RAP]).
2. Toronto Blue Jays: 25 (2 Crew Chief Reviews [1.000 RAP], 23 Challenges [.696 RAP]).
2. Oakland Athletics: 25 (11 Crew Chief Reviews [.727 RAP], 14 Challenges [.500 RAP]).
5. Pittsburgh Pirates: 21 (2 Crew Chief Reviews [1.000 RAP], 19 Chalenges [.474 RAP]).

Most Successful Managers - Managers with Highest CSP
*1. Jeff Banister (Pittsburgh Pirates Acting Manager): 1.000 (1/1 Challenge Overturned).
*1. Don Wakamatsu (Seattle Mariners Acting Manager): 1.000 (1/1 Challenge Overturned).
3. Mike Redmond (Miami Marlins): .857 (12/14 Challenges Overturned).
4. Bruce Bochy (San Francisco Giants): .722 (13/18 Challenges Overturned).
5. Bud Black (San Diego Padres): .700 (7/10 Challenges Overturned).

Least Successful Managers - Managers with Lowest CSP
*1. Gene Lamont (Oakland Athletics Acting Manager): .000 (0/1 Challenge Overturned).
2. Mike Matheny (St. Louis Cardinals): .222 (2/9 Challenges Overturned).
3. Terry Francona (Cleveland Indians): .286 (4/14 Challenges Overturned).
4. Joe Maddon (Tampa Bay Rays): .292 (7/24 Challenges Overturned).
5. Bryan Price (Cincinnati Reds): .300 (3/10 Challenges Overturned).

Team Success Percentage - TSP
1. MIA, SF - .722 (13/18).
3. ATL - .692 (9/13).
4. KC - .611 (11/18).
5. NYY - .588 (10/17).
6. SD - .583 (7/12).
7. LAD - .579 (11/19).
8. BOS, COL - .563 (9/16).
10. DET - .550 (11/20).
11. TEX - .529 (9/17).
12. WAS, HOU, BAL, MIL - .500 (VAR).
16. CHC - .480 (12/25).
17. PIT - .476 (10/21).
League Average - .471 (247/524)
18. PHI - .444 (8/18).
19. NYM, CWS - .429 (6/14).
21. LAA, MIN - .421 (8/19).
23. OAK - .400 (10/25).
24. SEA - .368 (7/19).
25. ARI, STL - .333 (5/15 & 4/12).
27. CLE - .294 (5/17).
28. TOR - .280 (7/25).
29. TB - .269 (7/26).
30. CIN - .214 (3/14).

Umpire Accuracy - Review Affirmation Percentage (RAP Ranking)
1. Chris Guccione - 1.000 (6/6).
2. Dan Bellino, Vic Carapazza - 1.000 (5/5).
4. Jordan Baker - 1.000 (4/4).
5. Chris Segal, Scott Barry - 1.000 (3/3).
7. David Rackley, Alfonso Marquez - 1.000 (2/2).
9. John Hirschbeck - 1.000 (1/1).
10. Mike Estabrook - .900 (9/10).
11. Hunter Wendelstedt - .857 (6/7).
12. Eric Cooper - .800 (4/5).
13. Tim Timmons - .778 (7/9).
14. Greg Gibson, Tom Hallion, Todd Tichenor - .750.
17. DJ Reyburn, Mark Ripperger - .714 (5/7).
19. Mark Wegner, Manny Gonzalez - .700 (7/10).
21. Tripp Gibson, Jerry Meals, Marcus Pattillo, Ron Kulpa, Paul Nauert, Jim Wolf - .667.
...
League Average - .529.
...
72. Angel Hernandez - .300.
73. Seth Buckminster, Gary Cederstrom, Tim Welke - .286.
76. John Tumpane, Adrian Johnson, Toby Basner, Laz Diaz, Pat Hoberg - .250.
81. Dale Scott - .200.
82. Jeff Gosney, Tony Randazzo, Stu Scheurwater, Jeff Kellogg, Tom Woodring, Mike Everitt - .000.

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