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Monday, June 30, 2014

MLB Ejection & Replay Review Stats: Week 13 Sabermetrics

Ejection & Instant Replay Review Statistics and Sabermetrics are now available for MLB Week 13. As the numbers and trends solidify, Close Call Sports and the Umpire Ejection Fantasy League continues with the strategic statistics reporting, the first measure of umpire-centric sabermetrics in professional baseball. Visit Instant Replay Review Statistics 101: Week 1 Sabermetrics for an introduction to Ejection & Replay Review definitions and terms, including Review Affirmation Percentage (RAP), also known as QOC (Quality of Correctness), Replay Percentage of Success (RPS), alternatively, 1.000 - RAP = RPS, and Manager's Challenge Success Percentage (CSP). Also included is Team Success Percentage (TSP), which includes all Replay Reviews; both Manager's Challenges and Crew Chief Reviews.

With Week 13 of the MLB Regular Season in the books, the UEFL recaps traditional ejections, plus professional baseball's "this time it counts" living experiment with Instant Replay Reviews.

We begin this week's sabermetric analysis with umpire ejections. Games Played: 1227 of 2430.
Ejections: 108 (on pace for 214 [-8 from last wk] Ejections). (Compare to: 180 Ejections in 2013)
"Team most active" (Team with most Ejections): Boston Red Sox - 9 (Rockies, Rangers - 7).
"Team least active" (Team with least Ejections): CLE Indians, LA Angels, WAS Nationals - 1.
"Manager ejections leader" (Manager ejected most often): Rick Renteria - 4 (1.000 QOC Y).
"Player ejections leader" (Player ejection leader): Andrus, Kemp, Murphy, Tulowitzki - 2.
"Umpire leader" (Umpire with most Ejections): Jordan Baker, Dan Bellino, Bill Miller - 5.
"Crew most active" (Crew Chief whose crew has most Ejections): Bill Miller - 11.
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest Simple QOC): Basner, Carlson, Timmons - 1.000 in 3/3.
"Overall QOC percentage" (Overall QOC Y value): .766 (59 Y / 18 N) + 31 Irrecusable = 108 Total.
"Team Status Pre-Ejection" (Winning-Losing-Tied [W-L-T] Record prior to Ejection): 25-59-24.
"Team Status Post-Ejection" (Game Record [W-L]): 40-68. (Delta: 15-9; WPCT: .625).

Next up is the category of Instant Replay Reviews.
Replay Reviews & Decisions Rendered: 624 (on pace for 1,235 [+3 from last wk] Replay Reviews)
- Crew Chief Reviews (Replay Reviews initiated by the Umpire Chief): 102 (16%), .706 RAP.
- Manager's Challenges (Replay Reviews initiated by the Club Manager): 522 (84%), .485 RAP.
"Team Most Used" (Made use of Replay Review most often): Tampa Bay Rays - 31.
"Team Least Used" (Least use of Replay): Milwaukee Brewers - 11.
"Manager's Challenge Leaders" (Most challenges filed): Joe Maddon, Rick Renteria - 28.
"Most successful Manager" (Manager with highest CSP): Mike Redmond - .813 (13/16).
"League average Manager" (Average CSP for all Managers): .515.
"Least successful Manager" (Manager with lowest CSP): Mike Matheny - .182 (2/11).
"Most successful team in review" (Team with highest TSP): Atlanta Braves - .714 (10/14).
"Least successful team in review" (Team with lowest TSP): Cincinnati Reds - .250 (4/16).
"Umpire most questioned" (Most Replay Reviews): Seth Buckminster - 15 (.267 RAP).
"Crew most questioned" (Crew Chief whose crew has most Reviews): Jerry Layne - 39.
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest RAP): Dan Bellino - 1.000 in 7/7.
"Ump of greatest overturn" (Umpire with lowest RAP): Jeff Kellogg - .000 in 3/3.
"Overall affirmation or QOC percentage" (Overall RAP): .521 (325/624 Affirmed Replay Reviews).
Team Status Pre-Review (Winning or Losing prior to review [Win-Loss-Tied]): 205-261-153.
Team Status Post-Review (Game Record [W-L]): 283-336. (Delta: 78-75; WPCT: .510).

Actual data (Raw Data for Replay Reviews):

- By Inning: 8 (69), 9 (65), 6 (64), 7 (63), 5 (59), 3 (53), 1 (47), 4 (46), 2 (40), Extra Innings (17).
- By Type: Safe/Out (402), HR/Not HR (40), Rule 7.13 (22), HBP/Foul (19), Catch/Trap (11).
- By Day of Week: Sun (95), Sat (84), Wed (80), Mon (71), Fri (68), Thurs (64), Tues (62).

Teams Most Used - Quantity of Replay Reviews (both Crew Chief & Manager's Challenge)
1. Tampa Bay Rays: 31 (3 Crew Chief Review [1.000 RAP], 28 Challenges [.643 RAP]).
2. Chicago Cubs: 30 (2 Crew Chief Review [1.000 RAP], 28 Challenges [.500 RAP]).
3. Toronto Blue Jays: 29 (4 Crew Chief Reviews [1.000 RAP], 25 Challenges [.680 RAP]).
4. Oakland Athletics: 27 (13 Crew Chief Reviews [.615 RAP], 14 Challenges [.500 RAP]).
5. Pittsburgh Pirates: 25 (4 Crew Chief Reviews [.750 RAP], 21 Challenges [.429 RAP]).
5. Kansas City Royals: 25 (1 Crew Chief Review [1.000 RAP], 24 Challenges [.292 RAP]).

Most Successful Managers - Managers with Highest CSP
*1. Jeff Banister (Pittsburgh Pirates Acting Manager): 1.000 (1/1 Challenge Overturned).
*1. Don Wakamatsu (Seattle Mariners Acting Manager): 1.000 (1/1 Challenge Overturned).
3. Mike Redmond (Miami Marlins): .813 (13/16 Challenges Overturned).
4. Fredi Gonzalez (Atlanta Braves): .714 (10/14 Challenges Overturned).
5. Joe Girardi (New York Yankees): .706 (12/17 Challenges Overturned).
6. Ned Yost (Kansas City Royals): .696 (16/23 Challenges Overturned).
7. Bruce Bochy (San Francisco Giants): .682 (15/22 Challenges Overturned).
8. John Farrell (Boston Red Sox): .625 (10/16 Challenges Overturned).
9. Matt Williams (Washington Nationals): .611 (11/18 Challenges Overturned).
10. Brad Ausmus (Detroit Tigers): .600 (12/20 Challenges Overturned).

Least Successful Managers - Managers with Lowest CSP
*1. Gene Lamont (Oakland Athletics Acting Manager): .000 (0/1 Challenge Overturned).
2. Mike Matheny (St. Louis Cardinals): .182 (2/11 Challenges Overturned).
3. Bryan Price (Cincinnati Reds): .273 (3/11 Challenges Overturned).
4. John Gibbons (Toronto Blue Jays): .320 (8/25 Challenges Overturned).
5. Terry Collins (New York Mets): .333 (5/15 Challenges Overturned).
6. Terry Francona (Cleveland Indians): .353 (6/17 Challenges Overturned).
7. Joe Maddon (Tampa Bay Rays): .357 (10/28 Challenges Overturned).
8. Walt Weiss (Colorado Rockies): .429 (9/21 Challenges Overturned).
9. Robin Ventura (Chicago White Sox): .429 (6/14 Challenges Overturned) [# of Reviews breaks tie].
10. Kirk Gibson (Arizona Diamondbacks): .438 (7/16 Challenge Overturned).

Team Success Percentage - TSP
1. ATL - .714 (10/14).
2. MIA - .700 (14/20).
3. KC - .680 (17/25).
4. SF - .667 (16/24).
5. NYY - .632 (12/19).
6. DET - .591 (13/22).
7. BOS - .571 (12/21).
8. BAL, TEX - .556.
10. MIL, LAD, WAS - .546.
13. HOU - .533 (8/15).
14. PIT - .520 (13/25).
15. SD - .500 (7/14).
League Average - .479 (299/624).
16. CHC - .467 (14/30).
17. COL - .458 (11/24).
18. PHI, OAK - .444.
20. CWS - .438 (7/16).
21. LAA - .429 (9/21).
22. MIN - .421 (8/19).
23. NYM - .389 (7/18).
24. SEA - .348 (8/23).
25. CLE, ARI - .333.
27. TB - .323 (10/31).
28. TOR - .276 (8/29).
29. STL - .267 (4/15).
30. CIN - .250 (4/16).

Umpire Accuracy - Review Affirmation Percentage (RAP Ranking)
1. Dan Bellino - 1.000 (7/7).
2. Chris Guccione, Vic Carapazza - 1.000 (6/6).
4. Scott Barry - 1.000 (5/5)
5. David Rackley - 1.000 (2/2).
6. John Hirschbeck, Chad Fairchild - 1.000 (1/1).
8. Hunter Wendelstedt - .857 (6/7).
9. Mike Estabrook - .833 (10/12).
10. Todd Tichenor, Eric Cooper, Jordan Baker - .800.
13. Will Little - .778 (7/9).
14. Chris Segal, Brian Knight, Greg Gibson - .750.
17. Mark Ripperger - .714 (5/7).
18. Tim Timmons - .700 (7/10).
19. Alan Porter, Paul Nauert, Alfonso Marquez, Adam Hamari - .667.
23. Jim Reynolds, Manny Gonzalez - .643.
25. Quinn Wolcott, Larry Vanover - .636.
27. Dan Iassogna, Tripp Gibson - .625.
29. Jim Wolf, Dana DeMuth, Cory Blaser - .600.
...
League Average - .521.
...
74. Angel Hernandez - .300.
75. James Hoye, Gary Cederstrom - .286.
77. Seth Buckminster - .267.
78. John Tumpane, Tony Randazzo, Marty Foster, Toby Basner - .250.
82. Tim Welke, Adrian Johnson - .222.
84. Tom Woodring, Stu Scheurwater, Jeff Kellogg, Jeff Gosney - .000.

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