The following presentation includes summaries and detailed analysis for ejections and replay data gathered during baseball season's ceremonial first half.
Summary, Ejections.
>> 126 Total Regular Season Ejections through July 12, 2015 ("Ceremonial First Half").
>> Umpires were 67.0% accurate on calls associated with ejection.
>> The Padres were ejected more often than any other team; the NL West led all MLB divisions.
>> The D-Backs & Marlins were ejected least often; the AL West trailed all MLB divisions.
>> Ex-Manager Bud Black formerly of the Padres led all managers in ejections.
>> Player Matt Kemp of the San Diego Padres led all players in ejections.
>> Umpire Holbrook led all umpires; Tripp Gibson was the most accurate ejector (highest E-QOC).
>> Tim Welke & John Hirschbeck's crews tied to lead all of baseball in ejection activity.
>> Most ejections occurred in the 7th inning; Ejections from 7th and on comprised 50% of all tosses.
>> Most ejections occurred on Sundays. Weekend series (Fri-Sun) featured 48% of all heave-ho's.
>> The most common reason for ejection was Balls/Strikes, followed by arguing a Check Swing.
Summary, Replay Reviews.
>> 687 Total Replay Reviews, of which calls were affirmed 53% of the time (47% overturned).
>> The Tampa Bay Rays used replay more than any other team, but were the 2nd least accurate (LA).
>> Manager Kevin Cash (TB) led all managers in filing challenges, but was fairly inaccurate.
>> Don Mattingly (LAD) and Cash (TB) were the league's worst challenging managers (lowest CSP).
>> Chip Hale (ARI) led the league in accuracy.
>> The league average manager was successful in challenging a play 49% of the time.
>> Umpires Baker and Bucknor saw at least 15 of their calls reviewed, each, more than any other umpire.
>> John Hirschbeck's crew led all of baseball in replay activity by a significant margin.
>> Umpire Alfonso Marquez led the league in accuracy with all of his calls affirmed by replay.
>> Umpire Paul Nauert experienced the highest rate of his calls being overturned by replay.
>> Most reviews occurred in the 8th inning. Reviews from 7th and on comprised 41% of all reviews.
>> Most reviews occurred on Sundays; Calls were most often overturned in daytime conditions.
>> The most common reason for review was Safe/Out, followed by HR/Not HR and HBP/Foul.
For detailed sabermetric analysis of MLB umpire ejections and instant replay review outcomes, follow the "read more" link below. The advanced data below includes team and individual (by manager/player/umpire) ejection and replay review leaders and statistics, including manager's challenges and crew chief reviews. Complete listed ranking of least and most successful managers in challenging, most successful teams (manager's challenges + crew chief reviews) and review percentages by umpire are included.
Games Played to date: 1330 of 2430 (54.7% of the season has been played).
Umpire Ejection Sabermetrics
Ejections: 126. At this pace (126 E / 1330 G), there will be 230 Ejections at regular season's end.
"Team most active" (Team with most Ejections): SD 12; KC 10; BOS 7; LAD, TOR 6.
"Team least active" (Team with least Ejections): ARI, MIA 1; TEX, OAK, MIN, LAA 2.
"Manager ejections leader" (Most Ejections): Bud Black (SD) 4; Mattingly/Ausmus/Bochy/Hurdle/Farrell/Gibbons 3.
"Player ejections leader" (Player ejection leader): Matt Kemp 3; Harper/Ventura/Ortiz/Cain/Napoli 2.
"Umpire leader" (Umpire with most Ejections): Sam Holbrook 7; Greg Gibson 5.
"Crew most active" (Crew Chief whose crew has most Ejections): John Hirscbheck & Tim Welke 3.
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest Simple QOC): Tripp Gibson - QOCY 1.000 (4/4).
"Overall QOC percentage" (Overall QOC Y value): .670 (63 Y / 31 N) + 32 Irrecusable = 126 Total.
"Team Status Pre-Ejection" (Winning-Losing-Tied [W-L-T] Record prior to Ejection): 27-67-32.
"Team Status Post-Ejection" (Game Record [W-L]): 53-73. (Delta: 26-6; WPCT: .813).
By Inning: 7 (27), 8 (26), 5 (19), 6 (12), 3 (10), 4 (10), 2 (8), 9 (7), 1 (4), Extras (3).
By Reason: Balls/Strikes (61, QOC .656), Check Swing (20, QOC .850), Throwing At (8), Replay Review (7), Unsportsmanlike-NEC (6), Fighting (5), Warnings (4), Safe/Out (3, QOC .000), HBP/Foul (3, QOC .333), Balk (3, QOC 1.000), Fair/Foul (2, QOC .500), Illegal Substance (2), Interference/Obstruction (2, QOC .500).
By Day of Week: Sun (27), Tues (19), Wed (19), Thurs (19), Sat (18), Fri (15), Mon (9).
Umpire Instant Replay Review Sabermetrics
Replay Reviews & Decisions Rendered: 687, .534 RAP (367/687).
- Crew Chief Reviews (Replay Reviews initiated by the Umpire Chief): 82 (12%), .744 RAP.
- Manager's Challenges (Replay Reviews initiated by the Club Manager): 605 (88%), .506 RAP.
"Team Most Used" (Made use of Replay Review most often): TB 39; CHC, TEX 32; TOR 31; BOS 30.
"Team Least Used" (Least use of Replay): STL 10; KC 14; CLE 15; ARI, SEA 16; CIN, DET, WAS 17.
"Manager's Challenge Leader" (Most challenges filed): Kevin Cash - 20 (Maddon, Banister - 16).
"Most successful Manager" (Manager with highest CSP): Chip Hale (ARI) - .714.
"League average Manager" (Average CSP for all Managers): .494.
"Least successful Manager" (Manager with lowest CSP): Kevin Cash - .250.
"Most successful team in review" (Team with highest TSP): Milwaukee Brewers - .650 (13/20).
"Least successful team in review" (Team with lowest TSP): Los Angeles Dodgers - .240 (6/25)
"Umpire most questioned" (Most Replay Reviews): Jordan Baker 16; CB Bucknor 15.
"Crew most questioned" (Crew Chief whose crew has most Reviews): Hirschbeck 47; Meals 40.
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest RAP): Alfonso Marquez - 1.000 in 5/5.
"Ump of greatest overturn" (Umpire with lowest RAP): Paul Nauert - .000 in 0/3.
Team Status Pre-Review (Winning or Losing prior to review [Win-Loss-Tied]): 194-285-208.
Team Status Post-Review (Game Record [W-L]): 316-371. (Delta: 122-86; WPCT: .587).
Actual data (Raw Data for Replay Reviews):
- By Inning: 8 (98), 1 (85), 5 (82), 7 (82), 3 (72), 6 (68), 9 (65), 4 (60), 2 (56), Extras (19).
- By Reason: Safe/Out (553), HR/Not HR (48), HBP/Foul (33), Fair/Foul (11), Catch/Trap (11), HP Rule (11).
- By Day of Week: Sat (120), Sun (118), Fri (115), Wed (103), Tues (98), Mon (75), Thurs (58).
Teams Most Used - Quantity of Replay Reviews (both Crew Chief & Manager's Challenge)
1. Tampa Bay Rays: 39. 10/39 Overturned Calls = .256 Team Success Percentage (TSP).
2. Texas Rangers: 32. 10/32 = .313.
2. Chicago Cubs: 32. 15/32 = .469.
4. Toronto Blue Jays: 31. 13/31 = .419.
5. Boston Red Sox: 30. 12/30 = .400.
6. San Diego Padres: 29. 14/29 = .483.
7. Colorado Rockies: 28. 14/28 = .500.
7. Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim: 28. 14/28 = .500.
9. Pittsburgh Pirates: 27. 13/27 = .481.
10. Los Angeles Dodgers: 25. 6/25 = .240.
Most and Least Successful Managers - Managers with Highest and Lowest CSP*
1. ARI - Chip Hale (Arizona Diamondbacks) - .714.
2. SEA - Lloyd McClendon (Seattle Mariners) - .667.
3. MIL - Craig Counsell (Milwaukee Brewers) - .650.
4. NYY - Joe Girardi (New York Yankees) - .625.
4. MIA - Mike Redmond/Dan Jennings (Miami Marlins) - .625.
6. MIN - Paul Molitor (Minnesota Twins) - .619.
7. CIN - Bryan Price (Cincinnati Reds) - .600.
8. BAL - Buck Showalter (Baltimore Orioles) - .588.
9. PIT - Clint Hurdle (Pittsburgh Pirates) - .550.
10. NYM - Terry Collins (New York Mets) - .545.
11. SD - Bud Black/Pat Murphy (San Diego Padres) - .538.
11. KC - Ned Yost (Kansas City Royals) - .538.
13. SF - Bruce Bochy (San Francisco Giants) - .526.
14. COL - Walt Weiss (Colorado Rockies) - .520.
14. LAA - Mike Scioscia (Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim) - .520.
16. HOU - AJ Hinch (Houston Astros) - .500.
16. OAK - Bob Melvin (Oakland Athletics) - .500.
16. CLE - Terry Francona (Cleveland Indians) - .500.
16. STL - Mike Matheny (St. Louis Cardinals) - .500.
League Average - .494 (299/605 Challenges Overturned).
20. CHI - Joe Maddon (Chicago Cubs) - .483.
21. PHI - Ryne Sandberg/Pete Mackanin (Philadelphia Phillies) - .474.
22. DET - Brad Ausmus (Detroit Tigers) - .467.
23. CWS - Robin Ventura (Chicago White Sox) - .458.
24. WAS - Matt Williams (Washington Nationals) - .455.
25. BOS - John Farrell (Boston Red Sox) - .444.
26. TOR - John Gibbons (Toronto Blue Jays) - .440.
27. ATL - Fredi Gonzalez (Atlanta Braves) - .435.
28. TEX - Jeff Banister (Texas Rangers) - .310.
29. LAD - Don Mattingly (Los Angeles Dodgers) - .261.
30. TB - Kevin Cash (Tampa Bay Rays) - .250.
*Team's manager(s) designated on the club's active coaching roster listed in this section. Keep in mind this may also be a function of bench coach and/or clubhouse video coordinator affinity.
Umpire Accuracy - Review Affirmation Percentage (RAP Ranking)
1. Alfonso Marquez - 1.000 (5/5).
2. Pat Hoberg - 1.000 (2/2).
2. Quinn Wolcott - 1.000 (2/2).
2. Alan Porter - 1.000 (2/2).
5. Mark Carlson - .917 (11/12).
6. Kerwin Danley - .857 (6/7).
7. Adam Hamari - .818 (9/11).
8. Mark Ripperger - .800 (4/5).
8. Paul Emmel - .800 (4/5).
8. Brian Gorman - .800 (4/5).
8. David Rackley - .800 (4/5).
12. Sam Holbrook - .778 (7/9).
13. Marty Foster - .750 (9/12).
14. Marvin Hudson - .750 (3/4).
15. Fieldin Culbreth - .714 (5/7).
15. Gary Cederstrom - .714 (5/7).
17. Dana DeMuth - .667 (6/9).
18. Gerry Davis - .667 (4/6).
18. Hunter Wendelstedt - .667 (4/6).
18. Jerry Layne - .667 (4/6).
18. Gabe Morales - .667 (4/6).
22. Rob Drake - .667 (2/3).
23. Manny Gonzalez - .636 (7/11).
23. Chris Guccione - .636 (7/11).
23. Jeff Nelson - .636 (7/11).
26. James Hoye - .600 (6/10).
26. Clint Fagan - .600 (6/10).
26. Brian O'Nora - .600 (6/10).
29. DJ Reyburn - .600 (3/5).
29. Mike DiMuro - .600 (3/5).
29. Ryan Blakney - .600 (3/5).
32. John Hirschbeck - .571 (8/14).
32. Ron Kulpa - .571 (8/14).
34. Tim Timmons - .571 (4/7).
35. Joe West - .556 (5/9).
35. Angel Hernandez - .556 (5/9).
35. Jeff Kellogg - .556 (5/9).
35. Mark Wegner - .556 (5/9).
... League Average - .534 (367/687)...
68. Jerry Meals - .400 (4/10).
68. Tim Welke - .400 (4/10).
69. Larry Vanover - .375 (3/8).
69. Chris Conroy - .375 (3/8).
69. Tony Randazzo - .375 (3/8).
72. Tom Hallion - .333 (3/9).
73. Chad Fairchild - .333 (2/6).
74. Brian Knight - .333 (1/3).
74. Marcus Pattillo - .333 (1/3).
76. Bill Welke - .308 (4/13).
77. Mike Everitt - .286 (2/7).
77. Scott Barry - .286 (2/7).
77. Ed Hickox - .286 (2/7).
77. Mike Muchlinski - .286 (2/7).
81. Dan Bellino - .250 (2/8).
82. Phil Cuzzi - .250 (1/4).
82. Sean Barber - .250 (1/4).
84. Will Little - .200 (1/5).85. Paul Nauert - .000 (0/3).
86. Ted Barrett - .000 (0/2).
87. Ben May - .000 (0/1).
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