Monday, October 3, 2016

UEFL's MLB Umpire Sabermetrics - 2016 Regular Season

MLB Umpire Sabermetrics for the 2016 regular season featured 190 ejections and 1,468 Replay Reviews through 2,428 games played (two games were cancelled).

An unusually raucous September featured 43 ejections, leading to 190 ejections, which is still the fewest in the expanded replay era, and fewest overall since 2013's 180-ejection season. For the first time in MLB history, more calls were overturned during the regular season than were upheld by Replay Review.

Summary, Ejections.
>> 190 Total Regular Season Ejections during the 2016 regular season (fewest since 2013 [180 EJ]).
>> Umpires were 64.2% accurate on calls associated with ejection.
>> The Blue Jays were ejected more often than any other team. The Pirates led the NL.
>> Manager John Gibbons of the Toronto Blue Jays led all managers in ejections.
>> Players Josh Donaldson (TOR) and Yunel Escobar (LAA) led all players in ejections.
>> Umpires Dale Scott and Todd Tichenor led all umpires in ejections.
>> Chief Dale Scott's crew led all umpire crews in ejections.
>> Most ejections occurred in the 8th inning; Ejections from 7th and on comprised 47% of all tosses.
>> Most ejections occurred on Sundays. Weekend series (Fri-Sun) featured 52% of all heave-ho's.
>> The most common reason for ejection was Balls/Strikes, followed by Throwing At.
>> All else equal, a team tied at the time of ejection ended up winning the game 97% of the time.

Summary, Replay Reviews.
>> 1468 Total Replay Reviews, of which calls were affirmed 48.3% of the time (51.7% overturned).
>> The Toronto Blue Jays used replay more than any other team, but were worst in the league at it.
>> The Kansas City Royals were the League's most successful team in review.
>> The Minnesota Twins experienced fewer reviews than any other team, and were average.
>> The Toronto Blue Jays were the worst MLB team in terms of Replay success.
>> Umpire Dan Iassogna had a league-leading 31 calls reviewed, and was fairly inaccurate.
>> Mike Everitt's crew led all of baseball in replay activity, and performed at about league average.
>> Umpire Quinn Wolcott led the league in accuracy with most of his calls affirmed by replay.
>> Umpire Toby Basner experienced the highest rate of his calls being overturned by replay.
>> The 7th inning had more reviews than any other inning. 41% of all reviews occurred from 7th-on.
>> Most reviews occurred on Sundays; Calls were most often overturned in daytime conditions.
>> The most common reason for review was Out/Safe, followed by Pulled Foot and HBP/No HBP.

For detailed sabermetric analysis of MLB umpire ejections and instant replay review outcomes, follow the "read more" link below.
Total Games Played Through October 2, 2016: 2428 of 2430 (Two games were cancelled).

Umpire Ejection Sabermetrics
Ejections: 190. Year-over-year, 2016 had the fewest ejections since 2013 (180 ejections).
"Team most active" (Team with most Ejections): TOR 17; PIT 15; DET 12; ATL 10; MIA 9; KC, LAA 8.
"Team least active" (Team with least Ejections): STL 1; PHI, SEA 2; SD, TB 3; (5 Tied) 4.
"Manager ejections leader" (Most Ejections): John Gibbons 8; Clint Hurdle 6; Francona, Price 4.
"Player ejections leader": Josh Donaldson, Yunel Escobar 3; Valencia, Maybin, Harper, Caminero, Pierzynski 2.
"Umpire leader" (Most Ejections): Dale Scott, Todd Tichenor 8; Pat Hoberg 7; Mike Everitt, Joe West 6.
"Crew most active" (Crew Chief whose crew has most Ejections): Scott 18; Everitt 16; West 11.
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest QOC): Will Little (5/5 + 0 U = 1.000 QOCY).
"Overall QOC percentage" (Overall QOC Y value): .642 (97 Y / 54 N) + 39 Irrecusable = 190 Total.
"Team Status Pre-Ejection" (Winning-Losing-Tied [W-L-T] Record prior to Ejection): 36-122-32.
"Team Status Post-Ejection" (Game Record [W-L]): 67-123. (Delta: 31-1; WPCT: .969).

By Inning: 8 (32); 9 (27); 3 (25); 5 (23); 7 (22); 6 (20); 4 (17); 2, Extras (9); 1 (6).
By Reason: Balls/Strikes (108); Throwing At (19); Check Swing (13); Replay Review (12).
By Day of Week: Sun (38); Fri (31); Sat (30); Tue, Wed (27); Mon (23); Thurs (14).

Umpire Instant Replay Review Sabermetrics
Replay Reviews & Decisions Rendered: 1468, .483 RAP (709/1468). *1st Season with RAP <.500*
"Team Most Used" (Used Replay Review most often): PIT 65; CIN 64; SD, STL 62; (4 Tied) 59.
"Team Least Used" (Least use of Replay): MIN 31; NYM, NYY 3; OAK 38; LAD 39; DET 40.
"Most successful team in review" (Team with highest TSP): Royals - .659 (27/41).
"Least successful team in review" (Team with lowest TSP): Blue Jays - .373 (22/59).
"Umpire most questioned" (Most Replay Reviews): Dan Iassogna 31; Timmons 30; Carlson 27.
"Crew most questioned" (Most Reviewed Crew): Everitt 87; Scott 77; Cederstrom 74.
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest RAP): Quinn Wolcott - .800 (12 Y in 15 Total).
"Ump of greatest overturn" (Umpire with lowest RAP): Toby Basner - .214 (3 Y in 14 Total).

Actual data (Raw Data for Replay Reviews):
- By Inning: 7 (199); 8 (191); 9 (169); 6 (162); 5 (159); 3 (155); 4 (138); 1 (137); 2 (109); Extras (49).
- By Reason: Out/Safe (990); Out/Pulled Foot (80); HBP/No HBP (44); HR/In Play (39); Tag/No (36).
- By Day of Week: Sun (267); Sat (253); Tues (222); Fri (211); Wed (202); Mon (176); Thurs (137).

Umpire Replay Review Leaderboard
Umpire Accuracy in Replay Reviews (Ranked by Review Affirmation Percentage [RAP])
80.0%Wolcott, Quinn1
75.0%Rackley, Dave2
72.2%Hallion, Tom3
71.4%Barrett, Ted4
70.6%Reyburn, DJ5
69.2%Hoberg, Pat6
66.7%Porter, Alan7
66.7%Gibson, Tripp III7
66.7%De Jesus, Ramon7
66.7%Winters, Mike7
66.7%Marquez, Alfonso7
66.7%Kellogg, Jeff7
65.0%Torres, Carlos13
64.3%Everitt, Mike14
63.6%Whitson, Chad15
61.9%Nelson, Jeff16
61.5%Wendelstedt, Hunter17
61.5%Little, Will17
61.5%Hickox, Ed17
60.0%Layne, Jerry20
60.0%Holbrook, Sam20
60.0%Gibson, Greg20
58.8%Wegner, Mark23
58.8%Hamari, Adam23
57.1%Vanover, Larry25
57.1%Danley, Kerwin25
55.0%Eddings, Doug27
52.2%West, Joe28
50.0%Culbreth, Fieldin29
50.0%Conroy, Chris29
50.0%Estabrook, Mike29
50.0%Blaser, Cory29
50.0%Baker, Jordan29
50.0%Bellino, Dan29
50.0%Muchlinski, Mike29
50.0%Johnson, Adrian29
50.0%Kulpa, Ron29
50.0%DeMuth, Dana29
50.0%Welke, Bill29
50.0%O'Nora, Brian29
48.0%Fagan, Clint41
47.8%Randazzo, Tony42
47.4%Nauert, Paul43
47.4%Hirschbeck, John43
46.2%Guccione, Chris45
45.8%Emmel, Paul46
45.5%Reynolds, Jim47
45.5%Miller, Bill47
45.5%Tumpane, John47
45.0%Joyce, Jim50
45.0%Blakney, Ryan50
44.4%Carlson, Mark52
44.4%Cederstrom, Gary52
44.4%Barry, Scott52
43.8%Cooper, Eric55
43.8%Carapazza, Vic55
43.8%Barksdale, Lance55
43.3%Timmons, Tim58
42.9%Foster, Marty59
42.9%Barrett, Lance59
41.7%Wolf, Jim61
41.7%Bucknor, CB61
40.0%Hudson, Marvin63
39.1%Ripperger, Mark64
38.9%Hernandez, Angel65
38.5%Knight, Brian66
38.5%Drake, Rob66
37.5%May, Ben68
36.8%Scott, Dale69
36.8%Fletcher, Andy69
36.4%Gorman, Brian71
33.3%Davis, Gerry72
33.3%Fairchild, Chad72
33.3%Lentz, Nic72
33.3%Gonzalez, Manny72
31.8%Morales, Gabe76
30.8%Hoye, James77
29.0%Iassogna, Dan78
28.6%Davidson, Bob79
26.7%Diaz, Laz80
25.0%Meals, Jerry81
25.0%Cuzzi, Phil81
23.1%Tichenor, Todd83
21.4%Basner, Toby84


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