Monday, August 4, 2014

MLB Ejection & Replay Review Stats: Week 18 Sabermetrics

Ejection & Instant Replay Review Statistics and Sabermetrics are now available for MLB Week 18. As the numbers and trends solidify, Close Call Sports and the Umpire Ejection Fantasy League continues with the strategic statistics reporting, the first measure of umpire-centric sabermetrics in professional baseball. Visit Instant Replay Review Statistics 101: Week 1 Sabermetrics for an introduction to Ejection & Replay Review definitions and terms, including Review Affirmation Percentage (RAP), also known as QOC (Quality of Correctness), Replay Percentage of Success (RPS), alternatively, 1.000 - RAP = RPS, and Manager's Challenge Success Percentage (CSP). Also included is Team Success Percentage (TSP), which includes all Replay Reviews; both Manager's Challenges and Crew Chief Reviews.

With Week 18 of the MLB Regular Season in the books, the UEFL recaps traditional ejections, plus professional baseball's "this time it counts" living experiment with Instant Replay Reviews.

We begin this week's sabermetric analysis with umpire ejections. Games Played: 1663 of 2430.
Ejections: 142 (on pace for 207 [-2 from last wk] Ejections). (Compare to: 180 Ejections in 2013)
"Team most active" (Team with most Ejections): Boston Red Sox - 10 (Rays - 9, Pirates - 8).
"Team least active" (Team with least Ejections): CLE Indians, LA Angels, WAS Nationals - 1.
"Manager ejections leader" (Manager ejected most often): Rick Renteria, Ron Gardenhire - 5.
"Player ejections leader" (Player ejection leader): Yunel Escobar - 3.
"Umpire leader" (Umpire with most Ejections): Dan Bellino - 6.
"Crew most active" (Crew Chief whose crew has most Ejections): Bill Miller - 12.
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest Simple QOC): Mark Carlson - 1.000 in 4/4.
"Overall QOC percentage" (Overall QOC Y value): .757 (81 Y / 26 N) + 35 Irrecusable = 142 Total.
"Team Status Pre-Ejection" (Winning-Losing-Tied [W-L-T] Record prior to Ejection): 35-75-32.
"Team Status Post-Ejection" (Game Record [W-L]): 53-89. (Delta: 18-14; WPCT: .563).

Next up is the category of Instant Replay Reviews.
Replay Reviews & Decisions Rendered: 876 (on pace for 1,278 [+16 from last wk] Replay Reviews)
- Crew Chief Reviews (Replay Reviews initiated by the Umpire Chief): 148 (17%), .715 RAP.
- Manager's Challenges (Replay Reviews initiated by the Club Manager): 728 (83%), .484 RAP.
"Team Most Used" (Made use of Replay Review most often): Chicago Cubs - 42.
"Team Least Used" (Least use of Replay): Milwaukee Brewers - 19.
"Manager's Challenge Leaders" (Most challenges filed): Rick Renteria - 38.
"Most successful Manager" (Manager with highest CSP): Mike Redmond - .761 (16/21).
"League average Manager" (Average CSP for all Managers): .517.
"Least successful Manager" (Manager with lowest CSP): Mike Matheny - .211 (4/19).
"Most successful team in review" (Team with highest TSP): New York Yankees - .667 (16/24).
"Least successful team in review" (Team with lowest TSP): Toronto Blue Jays - .237 (9/38).
"Umpire most questioned" (Most Replay Reviews): Jim Reynolds - 18 (.667 RAP).
"Crew most questioned" (Crew Chief whose crew has most Reviews): Bill Miller - 51 (.313 RAP).
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest RAP): Chris Guccione - 1.000 in 9/9.
"Ump of greatest overturn" (Umpire with lowest RAP): Tom Woodring - .000 in 0/4.
"Overall affirmation or QOC percentage" (Overall RAP): .527 (462/876 Affirmed Replay Reviews).
Team Status Pre-Review (Winning or Losing prior to review [Win-Loss-Tied]): 300-343-228.
Team Status Post-Review (Game Record [W-L]): 415-456. (Delta: 115-113; WPCT: .504).

Actual data (Raw Data for Replay Reviews):
- By Inning: 8 (116), 9 (108), 7 (104), 5 (103), 6 (103), 3 (91), 4 (79), 1 (79), 2 (62), Extras (29).
- By Type: Safe/Out (655), HR/Not HR (74), Rule 7.13 (52), HBP/Foul (32), Catch/Trap (18).
- By Day of Week: Sun (149), Sat (147), Fri (133), Wed (130), Tues (109), Mon (107), Thurs (101).

Teams Most Used - Quantity of Replay Reviews (both Crew Chief & Manager's Challenge)
1. Chicago Cubs: 42 (3 Crew Chief Reviews [1.000 RAP], 39 Challenges [539 RAP]).
2. Tampa Bay Rays: 40 (5 Crew Chief Reviews [.800 RAP], 35 Challenges [.657 RAP]).
3. Pittsburgh Pirates: 38 (5 Crew Chief Reviews [.800 RAP], 33 Challenges [.515 RAP]).
3. Toronto Blue Jays: 38 (5 Crew Chief Reviews [1.000 RAP], 33 Challenges [.800 RAP]).
5. Colorado Rockies, Oakland Athletics, San Francisco Giants: 34.

Most Successful Managers - Managers with Highest CSP
*1. Jeff Banister (Pittsburgh Pirates Acting Manager): 1.000 (2/2 Challenges Overturned).
*1. Don Wakamatsu (Seattle Mariners Acting Manager): 1.000 (1/1 Challenge Overturned).
*1. Jerry Narron (Milwaukee Brewers Acting Manager): 1.000 (1/1 Challenge Overturned).
4. Mike Redmond (Miami Marlins): .762 (16/21 Challenges Overturned).
5. Joe Girardi (New York Yankees): .727 (16/22 Challenges Overturned).
6. Brad Ausmus (Detroit Tigers): .667 (16/24 Challenges Overturned).
7. Fredi Gonzalez (Atlanta Braves): .650 (13/20 Challenges Overturned).
8. Ron Washington (Texas Rangers): .640 (16/25 Challenges Overturned).
9. Bruce Bochy (San Francisco Giants): .633 (19/30 Challenges Overturned).
10. Ned Yost (Milwaukee Brewers): .615 (16/26 Challenges Overturned).

Least Successful Managers - Managers with Lowest CSP
*1. Gene Lamont (Oakland Athletics Acting Manager): .000 (0/1 Challenge Overturned).
*1. Brandon Hyde (Chicago Cubs Acting Manager): .000 (0/1 Challenge Overturned).
3. Mike Matheny (St. Louis Cardinals): .211 (4/19 Challenges Overturned).
4. John Gibbons (Toronto Blue Jays): .281 (9/32 Challenges Overturned).
5. Bryan Price (Cincinnati Reds): .294 (5/17 Challenges Overturned).
6. Joe Maddon (Tampa Bay Rays): .353 (12/34 Challenges Overturned).
7. Walt Weiss (Colorado Rockies: .433 (13/30 Challenges Overturned).
8. Ryne Sandberg (Philadelphia Phillies): .435 (10/23 Challenges Overturned).
9. Terry Francona (Cleveland Indians): .458 (11/24 Challenges Overturned).
10. Rick Renteria (Chicago Cubs): .474 (18/38 Challenges Overturned).

Team Success Percentage - TSP
1. NYY - .667 (16/24).
2. DET, MIA - .630 (17/27).
4. TEX - .621 (18/29).
5. ATL - .619 (13/21).
6. KC - .607 (17/28).
7. BAL - .591 (13/22).
8. SF - .589 (20/34).
9. MIL - .579 (11/19).
10. HOU - .522 (12/23).
11. MIN - .519 (14/27).
12. WAS - .517 (15/29).
13. NYM, OAK - .500.
15. BOS - .482 (13/27).
League Average - .473.
16. LAD - .467 (14/30).
17. CWS - .462 (12/26).
18. SD - .455 (10/22).
19. PIT - .448 (17/38).
20. COL - .441 (15/34).
21. LAA - .433 (13/30).
22. CHC, PHI - .429 (18/42, 12/28).
24. ARI, CLE - .424 (14/33).
26. SEA - .333 (10/30).
27. TB - .325 (13/40).
28. CIN - .304 (7/23).
29. STL - .240 (6/25).
30. TOR - .237 (9/38).

Umpire Accuracy - Review Affirmation Percentage (RAP Ranking)
1. Chris Guccione - 1.000 (9/9).
2. John Hirschbeck - 1.000 (1/1).
3. Scott Barry - .857 (6/7).
4. Mike Estabrook - .846 (11/13).
5. Dan Bellino, Jim Wolf, Alfonso Marquez - .833 (10/12, 10/12, 5/6).
8. Vic Carapazza - .813 (13/16).
9. Hunter Wendelstedt, Chris Segal - .800 (8/10, 4/5).
11. Will Little - .733 (11/15).
12. Tim Timmons, Jordan Baker, Eric Cooper - .714 (10/14, 5/7, 5/7).
15. Tripp Gibson, Mark Ripperger - .700 (7/10, 7/10).
17. Greg Gibson, Manny Gonzalez, Brian Knight, Jerry Meals, Alan Porter, Jim Reynolds, Mark Wegner - .667.
24. Bob Davidson - .647 (11/17).
25. Larry Vanover - .643 (9/14).
26. Adam Hamari, Bill Miller, David Rackley - .600.
29. Mike Muchlinski - .583.
30. Dana DeMuth, Mike Everitt, Andy Fletcher, Tom Hallion, Pat Hoberg, Quinn Wolcott - .571.
...
League Average - .527
...
82. Gary Cederstrom - .300.
83. Toby Basner, James Hoye - .286.
85. Adrian Johnson - .273.
86. Seth Buckminster - .267.
87. Tim Welke - .250.
88. Stu Scheurwater - .200.
89. Jeff Gosney, Tom Woodring - .000.

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