Thursday, May 4, 2017

UEFL's MLB Umpire Sabermetrics - April 2017

The first edition of UEFL's MLB Umpire Sabermetrics for the 2017 regular season is now available and features 21 ejections and 226 Replay Reviews through 369 games played.

The first month of the regular season produced more ejections than occurred in April 2016, and were about average historically for the month of April, which tends to have fewer ejections than other months of the regular season. Replays were about average in rate.

Summary, Ejections.
>> 21 Total Regular Season Ejections through April 30, 2017 (on pace for 138 ejections this season).
>> Umpires were 56.3% accurate on calls associated with ejection.
>> The Blue Jays, Rangers, Rays, Twins & Red Sox led the AL in ejections. The Cardinals led the NL.
>> Managers John Gibbons (Blue Jays) and Jeff Banister (Rangers) led all managers in ejections.
>> Umpires Alan Porter led all umpires in ejections.
>> Chief Mike Everitt's crew led all umpire crews in ejections.
>> Most ejections occurred in the 7th inning; Ejections from 7th and on comprised 67% of all tosses.
>> Most ejections occurred on Sundays. Weekend series (Fri-Sun) featured 62% of all heave-ho's.
>> The most common reason for ejection was Balls/Strikes.
>> All else equal, a team tied at the time of ejection ended up winning the game 100% of the time.

Summary, Replay Reviews.
>> 226 Total Replay Reviews, of which calls were affirmed 53.1% of the time (46.9% overturned).
>> The Tampa Bay Rays used replay more than any other team, but were fairly unsuccessful.
>> The Kansas City Royals were the League's most successful team in review (perfect 6/6 record).
>> The Baltimore Orioles experienced fewer reviews than any other team, and were average.
>> The A's and Blue Jays were the worst MLB teams in terms of Replay success (.200 TSP each).
>> Umpire Angel Hernandez had a league-leading 8 calls reviewed, and was average in outcome.
>> Ted Barrett's crew led all of baseball in replay activity, and performed at league average.
>> Umpires Marquez and Hudson led in accuracy with all of their calls affirmed by replay.
>> Umpire Sam Holbrook experienced the highest rate of his calls being overturned by replay.
>> The 7th inning had more reviews than any other inning. 49% of all reviews occurred from 7th-on.
>> Most reviews occurred on Sundays; Calls were most often overturned in daytime conditions.
>> The most common reason for review was Out/Safe (Force - 1st) followed by Out/Safe (Tag).

For detailed sabermetric analysis of MLB umpire ejections and instant replay review outcomes, including a Replay Review umpire leaderboard, follow the "read more" link below.
Total Games Played Through April 30, 2017: 369 of 2430 (15.2% of the season has been played).

Umpire Ejection Sabermetrics
Ejections: 21. (Compare to 17 in April 2016). Pace is 138 ejections / 2430 games played.
"Team most active" (Team with most Ejections): TOR, TEX, TB, STL, MIN, BOS 2.
"Team least active" (Team with least Ejections): (15 Tied) 0.
"Manager ejections leader" (Most Ejections): John Gibbons, Jeff Banister 2.
"Player ejections leader": (7 Tied) 1.
"Umpire leader" (Most Ejections): Alan Porter 3; John Tumpane, Jordan Baker 2.
"Crew most active" (Crew with most Ejections): Everitt 4; Hunter Wendelstedt 3; (3 Tied) 2.
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest QOC): Alan Porter (2 Y / 0 N + 1 U = 1.000 QOCY).
"Overall QOC percentage" (Overall QOC Y value): .563 (9 Y / 7 N) + 5 Irrecusable = 21 Total.
"Team Status Pre-Ejection" (Winning-Losing-Tied [W-L-T] Record prior to Ejection): 7-12-2.
"Team Status Post-Ejection" (Game Record [W-L]): 10-11. (Delta: 3-[-1]; WPCT: [Undefined]).

By Inning: 7 (7), 8 (4), 9 (3), 5 (3), 6 (2), 3 (2).
By Reason: Balls/Strikes (8); Balk, Check Swing, Fair/Foul, Throwing At (2); [5 Tied] (1).
By Day of Week: Sun (8); Mon, Wed, Sat (3); Thurs, Fri (2); Tues (0).

Umpire Instant Replay Review Sabermetrics
Replay Reviews & Decisions Rendered: 226, .531 RAP (120/226). On pace for 1488 replays.
"Team Most Used" (Used Replay Review most often): TB 16; STL, LAD 11; TOR, TEX, HOU 10.
"Team Least Used" (Least use of Replay): BAL 3; DET, PHI 4; LAA, OAK 5.
"Most successful team in review" (Team with highest TSP): Royals - 1.000 (6/6).
"Least successful team in review" (Team with lowest TSP): A's, Blue Jays - .200 (1/5, 2/10).
"Umpire most questioned" (Most Replay Reviews): Angel Hernandez 8; (4 Tied) 6.
"Crew most questioned" (Most Reviewed Crew): Ted Barrett 20; Jeff Nelson 18; Mike Winters 16.
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest RAP): Marquez, Hudson - 1.000 (5 Y in 5 Total).
"Ump of greatest overturn" (Umpire with lowest RAP): Sam Holbrook - .000 (0 Y in 4 Total).

Actual data (Raw Data for Replay Reviews):
- By Inning: 7 (49), 8 (32), 6 (24), 9 (23), 2 (20), 1 (20), 4 (19), 3 (17), 5 (16), Extras (6).
- By Reason: Out/Safe [Force - 1B] (60), Out/Safe [Tag - Into Base] (56), Out/Safe [Pulled Foot] (17), HR/In Play (12), Slide Interference (11), HBP/No HBP (9).
- By Day of Week: Sun (47), Sat (39), Fri (34), Thurs (31), Tues (28), Wed (27), Mon (20).

Umpire Replay Review Leaderboard
Umpire Accuracy in Replay Reviews (Ranked by Review Affirmation Percentage [RAP])
100.0%Marquez, Alfonso1
100.0%Hudson, Marvin1
100.0%West, Joe1
100.0%Wolcott, Quinn1
100.0%Carapazza, Vic1
100.0%Scott, Dale1
100.0%Gibson, Tripp1
100.0%Everitt, Mike1
100.0%Barry, Scott1
100.0%Welke, Bill1
100.0%Torres, Carlos1
100.0%Hoye, James1
100.0%De Jesus, Ramon1
75.0%Nauert, Paul14
75.0%Hamari, Adam14
75.0%Guccione, Chris14
75.0%Barrett, Ted14
75.0%Barksdale, Lance14
66.7%Wegner, Mark19
66.7%Timmons, Tim19
66.7%Scheurwater, Stu19
66.7%Porter, Alan19
66.7%Fagan, Clint19
66.7%Conroy, Chris19
60.0%Blaser, Cory25
50.0%Hernandez, Angel26
50.0%Rackley, Dave26
50.0%Eddings, Doug26
50.0%Wendelstedt, Hunter26
50.0%Tumpane, John26
50.0%Tichenor, Todd26
50.0%Ripperger, Mark26
50.0%Nelson, Jeff26
50.0%Morales, Gabe26
50.0%Gonzalez, Manny26
50.0%Cooper, Eric26
50.0%Cederstrom, Gary26
50.0%Woodring, Tom26
50.0%Wolf, Jim26
50.0%Meals, Jerry26
50.0%Little, Will26
50.0%Knight, Brian26
50.0%Kellogg, Jeff26
50.0%Foster, Marty26
50.0%Fletcher, Andy26
50.0%Cuzzi, Phil26
50.0%Culbreth, Fieldin26
50.0%Carlson, Mark26
50.0%Bellino, Dan26
50.0%Basner, Toby26
50.0%Baker, Jordan26
40.0%Winters, Mike52
33.3%Randazzo, Tony53
33.3%Layne, Jerry53
33.3%Iassogna, Dan53
33.3%Hallion, Tom53
33.3%Gibson, Greg53
33.3%Emmel, Paul53
33.3%Diaz, Laz53
25.0%Reyburn, DJ60
25.0%Dreckman, Bruce60
25.0%DiMuro, Mike60
0.0%Holbrook, Sam63
0.0%Barrett, Lance63
0.0%Muchlinski, Mike63
0.0%Estabrook, Mike63
0.0%DeMuth, Dana63
0.0%Bucknor, CB63
0.0%Vanover, Larry63
0.0%Reynolds, Jim63
0.0%O'Nora, Brian63
0.0%Kulpa, Ron63
0.0%Gorman, Brian63
0.0%Drake, Rob63
0.0%Davis, Gerry63
0.0%Danley, Kerwin63


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