Friday, August 10, 2018

UEFL's MLB Umpire Sabermetrics - July 2018

UEFL's MLB Umpire Sabermetrics report for July 2018 features 107 ejections and 910 Replay Reviews through 1,609 regular season games played (66.2% complete). Click here for last month's stats.

Though ejection #s are projected to decrease year-over-year, based on current rates, replays are projected to remain at an equitable level.

The attached Most & Least Accurate Umpires, Replay Review contains the top and bottom of the Replay Review table ordinarily found in the "Read More" detailed section of the monthly report.

Related: Visit our Replay Review Statistics and Sabermetrics page for daily-updated umpire stats. This page includes Replay Review Rankings sorted by umpire, by team, and by call type. Daily ejections information is available at our Ejection List page.

Summary, Ejections.
>> 107 Total Regular Season Ejections through July 31, 2018 (on pace for 162 ejections this season).
>> Umpires were 73.3% accurate on calls associated with ejection.
>> The New York Yankees led MLB in ejections. The Cubs, Dodgers, and Padres led the National League.
>> Managers John Gibbons led MLB in ejections. Andy Green led the National League.
>> Player Matt Kemp led MLB players in ejections. Marwin Gonzalez led the American League.
>> Umpires Brian Gorman and Hunter Wendelstedt led all umpires in ejections.
>> Chief Larry Vanover's crew led all umpire crews in ejections.
>> Most ejections occurred in the 3rd inning; Ejections from 7th and on comprised 38% of all tosses.
>> Most ejections occurred on Wednesday. Weekend series (Fri-Sun) featured 30% of all heave-ho's.
>> The most common reason for ejection was Balls/Strikes, followed by Check Swings.
>> All else equal, a team tied at the time of ejection ended up winning the game 40.0% of the time.

Summary, Replay Reviews.
>> 910 Total Replay Reviews, of which calls were affirmed 52.0% of the time (48.0% overturned).
>> The Twins and Cardinals used replay more than any other team, but were fairly unsuccessful.
>> The Kansas City Royals were the League's most successful team in review (21-for-27).
>> The BAL Orioles experienced fewer reviews than any other team.
>> The Milwaukee Brewers were the worst MLB team in terms of Replay success (5-for-20).
>> Umpire Brian O'Nora was the umpire most reviewed.
>> Chief Jeff Kellogg's crew led all of baseball in replay activity, and performed at league average.
>> Umpire John Tumpane led in accuracy (8/10).
>> Umpire Phil Cuzzi experienced the highest rate of calls overturned by replay (9/11).
>> Umpire Brian O'Nora had the most number of calls overturned by replay (11 overturns).
>> The 8th inning had more reviews than any other inning. 43% of all reviews occurred from 7th-on.
>> Most reviews occurred on Saturday; Weekend series (Fri-Sun) featured 50% of all replays.
>> The most common reason for review was Out/Safe (Force - 1st) followed by Out/Safe (Tag - In).

Most & Least Accurate Umpires, Replay Review (sorted by Review Affirmation Percentage [RAP]).

1Tumpane, John80.0%28
2Fairchild, Chad77.8%27
2Scheurwater, Stu77.8%27
2Timmons, Tim77.8%27
5Davis, Gerry76.9%310
6Libka, John75.0%13
6Barber, Sean75.0%26
6Rackley, Dave75.0%26
6Barrett, Ted75.0%39
10Estabrook, Mike71.4%25
10May, Ben71.4%25
10Torres, Carlos71.4%410
13Gorman, Brian68.8%511
14Wolf, Jim66.7%12
14Reynolds, Jim66.7%36
14Woodring, Tom66.7%36
14Reyburn, DJ66.7%510
14Welke, Bill66.7%510
73Porter, Alan35.7%95
74Iassogna, Dan33.3%21
74Foster, Marty33.3%42
74Kulpa, Ron33.3%42
74Miller, Bill33.3%63
74Winters, Mike33.3%63
74Gibson, Greg33.3%84
74Wolcott, Quinn33.3%84
74Meals, Jerry33.3%105
82Hamari, Adam30.0%73
82Kellogg, Jeff30.0%73
82Wegner, Mark30.0%73
85Tichenor, Todd28.6%52
85Holbrook, Sam28.6%104
87Livensparger, Shane25.0%31
88Cuzzi, Phil18.2%92

Umpires with Fewest and Greatest # of Overturned Calls [NEW]
1 Overturn: Libka, Marhley, Wolf.
2 Overturns: Barber, De Jesus, Estabrook, Fairchild, Iassogna, May, Rackley, Scheurwater, Timmons, Tumpane.
9 Overturns: Cuzzi, Porter.
10 Overturns: Cooper, Holbrook, Meals.
11 Overturns: O'Nora.

For detailed sabermetric analysis of MLB umpire ejections and instant replay review outcomes, follow the "read more" link below.

Total Games Played Through July 31, 2018: 1609 of 2430 (66.2% of the season has been played).

Umpire Ejection Sabermetrics
Ejections: 107. (Compare to 118 through July 2017). Pace is 162 ejections / 2430 games played.
"Team most active" (Team with most Ejections): NYY 7; CHC, CWS, LAD, SD, TOR 6; [4 Tied] 5.
"Team least active" (Team with least Ejections): CLE, OAK, STL, TB 1; ATL, BOS, CIN, PIT 2.
"Manager ejections leader" (Most Ejections): John Gibbons 5; Renteria 4; [4 Tied] 3.
"Player ejections leader": Matt Kemp 3; M Gonzalez, A Cabrera 2.
"Umpire leader" (Most Ejections): B Gorman, H Wendelstedt 6; Little 5; T Gibson, Tumpane 4.
"Crew most active" (Crew with most Ejections): Vanover 10; Welke 8; Gorman, T Barrett 7; West 6.
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest QOC): Tumpane (4 Y / 0 N + 0 U = 1.000 QOCY).
"Overall QOC percentage" (Overall QOC Y value): .733 (63 Y / 23 N) + 21 Irrecusable = 107 Total.
"Team Status Pre-Ejection" (Winning-Losing-Tied [W-L-T] Record prior to Ejection): 27-50-30.
"Team Status Post-Ejection" (Game Record [W-L]): 39-68. (Delta: 12-18; WPCT: .400).

By Inning: 3 (17); 6 (15); 8 (13); 5, 9 (12); 4 (11); 7 (10); 1, Extras (6); 2 (5).
By Reason: Balls/Strikes (53); Check Swing (12); Fighting (10); Balk (9); Replay Review, Throwing At (4).
By Day of Week: Wednesday (20); Tuesday (14), Sunday (12), Saturday (11), Monday (10), Thurs/Fri (9).

Umpire Instant Replay Review Sabermetrics
Replay Reviews & Decisions Rendered: 910, .520 RAP (473/910). On pace for 1374 replays.
"Team Most Used" (Used Replay Review most often): MIN 42; STL 41; ATL, PIT 39; SD, TB 38.
"Team Least Used" (Least use of Replay): BAL, NYM 19; MIL 20; HOU 22; SF 23; DET, WAS 25.
"Most successful team in review" (Team with highest TSP): KC Royals - .778 (21/27).
"Least successful team in review" (Team with lowest TSP): MIL Brewers - .250 (5/20).
"Umpire most questioned" (Most Reviews): O'Nora 19; Hoye 17; Barksdale, Cooper, Gorman 16.
"Crew most questioned" (Most Reviewed Crew): Kellogg 56; Meals 51; Welke 50; Culbreth 49.
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest RAP): John Tumpane - .800 (8 Y in 10 Total).
"Ump of greatest overturn" (Umpire with lowest RAP): Phil Cuzzi - .182 (2 Y in 11 Total).

Actual data (Raw Data for Replay Reviews):
- By Inning: 8 (142); 7 (107); 5 (105); 9 (101); 6 (100); 4 (87); 3 (86); 1 (75); 2 (63); Extras (44).
- By Reason: Out/Safe [Force - 1st] 211; Out/Safe [Tag - Into Base] 130; Out/Safe [Tag - Stolen Base] 117; Out/Safe [Pulled Foot] 69; Out/Safe [Tag - Pickoff] 61; HR/In Play 37; HBP/Ball 33.
- By Day of Week: Sat (165); Fri (161); Tues (138); Wed (132); Sun (127); Mon (97); Thurs (90).


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