Monday, July 14, 2014

MLB Ejection & Replay Review Stats: Week 15 Sabermetrics

Ejection & Instant Replay Review Statistics and Sabermetrics are now available for MLB Week 15. As the numbers and trends solidify, Close Call Sports and the Umpire Ejection Fantasy League continues with the strategic statistics reporting, the first measure of umpire-centric sabermetrics in professional baseball. Visit Instant Replay Review Statistics 101: Week 1 Sabermetrics for an introduction to Ejection & Replay Review definitions and terms, including Review Affirmation Percentage (RAP), also known as QOC (Quality of Correctness), Replay Percentage of Success (RPS), alternatively, 1.000 - RAP = RPS, and Manager's Challenge Success Percentage (CSP). Also included is Team Success Percentage (TSP), which includes all Replay Reviews; both Manager's Challenges and Crew Chief Reviews.

With Week 15 of the MLB Regular Season in the books, the UEFL recaps traditional ejections, plus professional baseball's "this time it counts" living experiment with Instant Replay Reviews.

We begin this week's sabermetric analysis with umpire ejections. Games Played: 1423 of 2430.
Ejections: 125 (on pace for 213 [+2 from last wk] Ejections). (Compare to: 180 Ejections in 2013)
"Team most active" (Team with most Ejections): Boston Red Sox - 10 (Rockies, Rangers, Cubs - 7).
"Team least active" (Team with least Ejections): CLE Indians, LA Angels, WAS Nationals - 1.
"Manager ejections leader" (Manager ejected most often): Rick Renteria - 5.
"Player ejections leader" (Player ejection leader): Andrus, Kemp, Murphy, Tulowitzki - 2.
"Umpire leader" (Umpire with most Ejections): Jordan Baker, Dan Bellino, Bill Miller - 5.
"Crew most active" (Crew Chief whose crew has most Ejections): Bill Miller - 12.
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest Simple QOC): Mark Carlson - 1.000 in 4/4.
"Overall QOC percentage" (Overall QOC Y value): .742 (69 Y / 24 N) + 32 Irrecusable = 125 Total.
"Team Status Pre-Ejection" (Winning-Losing-Tied [W-L-T] Record prior to Ejection): 27-68-30.
"Team Status Post-Ejection" (Game Record [W-L]): 45-80. (Delta: 18-12; WPCT: .600).

Next up is the category of Instant Replay Reviews.
Replay Reviews & Decisions Rendered: 728 (on pace for 1,243 [+10 from last wk] Replay Reviews)
- Crew Chief Reviews (Replay Reviews initiated by the Umpire Chief): 121 (17%), .711 RAP.
- Manager's Challenges (Replay Reviews initiated by the Club Manager): 607 (83%), .479 RAP.
"Team Most Used" (Made use of Replay Review most often): Toronto Blue Jays - 37.
"Team Least Used" (Least use of Replay): Milwaukee Brewers - 15.
"Manager's Challenge Leaders" (Most challenges filed): John Gibbons - 32.
"Most successful Manager" (Manager with highest CSP): Mike Redmond - .778 (14/18).
"League average Manager" (Average CSP for all Managers): .521.
"Least successful Manager" (Manager with lowest CSP): Mike Matheny - .143 (2/14).
"Most successful team in review" (Team with highest TSP): Atlanta Braves - .750 (12/16).
"Least successful team in review" (Team with lowest TSP): St. Louis Cardinals - .211 (4/19).
"Umpire most questioned" (Most Replay Reviews): Bob Davidson - 17 (.647 RAP).
"Crew most questioned" (Crew Chief whose crew has most Reviews): Bill Miller - 44 (.682 RAP).
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest RAP): Chris Guccione - 1.000 in 7/7.
"Ump of greatest overturn" (Umpire with lowest RAP): Tom Woodring - .000 in 0/3.
"Overall affirmation or QOC percentage" (Overall RAP): .518 (377/728 Affirmed Replay Reviews).
Team Status Pre-Review (Winning or Losing prior to review [Win-Loss-Tied]): 243-299-181.
Team Status Post-Review (Game Record [W-L]): 334-389. (Delta: 91-90; WPCT: .503).

Actual data (Raw Data for Replay Reviews):

- By Inning: 9 (95), 8 (95), 7 (88), 5 (84), 6 (81), 3 (76), 4 (68), 1 (65), 2 (53), Extra Innings (22).
- By Type: Safe/Out (550), HR/Not HR (59), Rule 7.13 (39), HBP/Foul (24), Catch/Trap (16).
- By Day of Week: Sun (129), Sat (117), Wed (116), Fri (99), Mon (90), Tue (89), Thurs (88).

Teams Most Used - Quantity of Replay Reviews (both Crew Chief & Manager's Challenge)
1. Toronto Blue Jays: 37 (5 Crew Chief Reviews [1.000 RAP], 32 Challenges [.719 RAP]).
2. Tampa Bay Rays: 36 (5 Crew Chief Reviews [.800 RAP], 31 Challenges [.645 RAP]).
3. Chicago Cubs: 35 (3 Crew Chief Reviews [1.000 RAP], 32 Challenges [.531 RAP]).
4. San Francisco Giants: 30 (3 Crew Chief Reviews [.667 RAP], 27 Challenges [.370 RAP]).
5. Colorado Rockies: 28 (4 Crew Chief Reviews [.500 RAP], 24 Challenges [.583 RAP]).
5. Oakland Athletics: 28 (13 Crew Chief Reviews [.615 RAP], 15 Challenges [.467 RAP]).

Most Successful Managers - Managers with Highest CSP
*1. Jeff Banister (Pittsburgh Pirates Acting Manager): 1.000 (1/1 Challenge Overturned).
*1. Don Wakamatsu (Seattle Mariners Acting Manager): 1.000 (1/1 Challenge Overturned).
*1. Jerry Narron (Milwaukee Brewers Acting Manager): 1.000 (1/1 Challenge Overturned).
4. Mike Redmond (Miami Marlins): .778 (14/18 Challenges Overturned).
5. Fredi Gonzalez (Atlanta Braves): .750 (12/16).
6. Joe Girardi (New York Yankees): .722 (13/18).
7. Ned Yost (Kansas City Royals): .667 (16/24).
8. Brad Ausmus (Detroit Tigers): .636 (14/22).
9. Bruce Bochy (San Francisco Giants): .630 (17/27).
10. Matt Williams (Washington Nationals): .619 (13/21).

Least Successful Managers - Managers with Lowest CSP
*1. Gene Lamont (Oakland Athletics Acting Manager): .000 (0/1 Challenge Overturned).
*1. Brandon Hyde (Chicago Cubs Acting Manager): .000 (0/1 Challenge Overturned).
3. Mike Matheny (St. Louis Cardinals): .143 (2/14 Challenges Overturned).
4. Bryan Price (Cincinnati Reds): .250 (3/12).
5. John Gibbons (Toronto Blue Jays): .281 (9/32).
6. Joe Maddon (Tampa Bay Rays): .355 (11/31).
7. Walt Weiss (Colorado Rockies): .417 (10/24).
8. Ryne Sandberg (Philadelphia Phillies): .444 (8/18).
9. Terry Collins (New York Mets): .474 (9/19).
10. Terry Francona (Cleveland Indians): .476 (10/21).

Team Success Percentage - TSP
1. ATL - .750 (14/24).
2. MIL - .667 (10/15).
3. KC - .654 (17/26).
4. MIA - .652 (15/23).
5. NYY - .650 (13/20).
6. DET - .625 (15/24).
7. SF, BAL - .600.
9. WAS - .577 (15/26).
10. HOU - .556 (10/18).
11. TEX - .546 (12/22).
12. MIN - .522 (12/23).
13. BOS - .520 (13/25).
14. CWS, NYM, LAD - .500.
League Average - .482.
17. PIT - .482 (13/27).
18. OAK - .464 (13/28).
19. CLE - .462 (12/26).
20. SD - .444 (8/18).
21. CHC, COL - .429.
23. LAA - .423 (11/26).
24. ARI - .417 (10/24).
25. PHI - .409 (9/22).
26. SEA - .346 (9/26).
27. TB - .333 (12/36).
28. TOR - .243 (9/37).
29. CIN - .235 (4/17).
30. STL - .211 (4/19).

Umpire Accuracy - Review Affirmation Percentage (RAP Ranking)
1. Chris Guccione - 1.000 (7/7).
2. John Hirschbeck - 1.000 (1/1).
3. Dan Bellino - .875 (7/8).
4. Mike Estabrook, Scott Barry, Eric Cooper - .833.
7. Vic Carapazza, Jordan Baker - .800.
9. Hunter Wendelstedt, Jim Wolf - .778.
11. Tim Timmons - .769.
12. Will Little, Greg Gibson, Mark Ripperger, Chris Segal - .750.
16. Adam Hamari - .714.
17. Alan Porter, Brian Knight, Mike Everitt, Alfonso Marquez, David Rackley - .667.
22. Bob Davidson - .647.
23. Manny Gonzalez, Jim Reynolds - .643.
25. Tripp Gibson - .625.
26. Mark Wegner - .615.
27. Jerry Meals - .600.
28. Larry Vanover, Quinn Wolcott, Lance Barrett, Clint Fagan - .571.
...
League Average - .518.
...
75. Kerwin Danley, Brian O'Nora, CB Bucknor - .300.
78. James Hoye, Mike Winters - .286.
80. Adrian Johnson - .273.
81. Seth Buckminster - .267.
82. Gary Cederstrom - .250.
83. Tim Welke - .222.
84. Toby Basner - .167.
85. Tom Woodring, Jeff Gosney, Stu Scheurwater, Jim Joyce - .000.

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