Monday, June 2, 2014

MLB Instant Replay Review 428: Brian Gorman (02)

Instant Replay Review upheld 3B Umpire Brian Gorman's safe call in the top of the 7th inning of the Mariners-Yankees game. With none out and two on, Mariners batter Endy Chavez bunted a 0-0 fastball from Yankees pitcher David Phelps to Phelps, who threw to third baseman Yangervis Solarte as Mariners baserunner R2 Mike Zunino slid into third base. Upon Replay Review as the result of a challenge by Yankees Manager Joe Girardi, Gorman's ruling was affirmed, the call was correct. At the time of the review, the contest was tied, 2-2. The Mariners ultimately won the contest, 10-2.

This is Brian Gorman (9)'s second Replay Review of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is Crew Chief Brian Gorman's 20th supervised Replay Review of the 2014 season.

This is the 428th Instant Replay Review of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is Yankees Manager Joe Girardi's 16th Replay Review of 2014.
Umpires are now 231/428 (.540 Affirmation Rate) in Replay Reviews during the 2014 MLB season.

Wrap: Seattle Mariners vs. New York Yankees, 6/2/14
Video: Play stands; Mariners' bid for a sacrifice bunt turns into a bases loaded situation (NYY)

MLB Replay Reviews 426-427: Davis, Wolcott (06, 10)

Instant Replay Review overturned 1B Umpire Gerry Davis' out call in the bottom of the 3rd and upheld 2B Umpire Quinn Wolcott's safe call in the bottom of the 7th inning of the Red Sox-Indians game. In the 3rd, with none out and one on, Indians batter Michael Brantley hit a 1-1 cutter from Red Sox pitcher John Lackey on the ground to first baseman Brock Holt, who threw to shortstop Stephen Drew to first baseman Holt as Brantley arrived at first base, Indians baserunner Asdrubal Cabrera out at second. Upon Replay Review as the result of a challenge by Red Sox Manager John Farrell, Davis' ruling was reversed, the call was incorrect. At the time of the review, the Indians were leading, 3-0.

In the 7th, with two out and one on, Indians baserunner R1 Mike Aviles attempted to steal second base off Red Sox catcher A.J. Pierzynski. Upon Replay Review as the result of a challenge by Red Sox Manager Farrell, Wolcott's ruling was affirmed, the call was correct. At the time of the review, the Indians were leading, 3-0. The Indians ultimately won the contest, 3-2.

This is Gerry Davis (12)'s sixth Replay Review of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is Quinn Wolcott (81)'s 10th Replay Review of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is Crew Chief Gerry Davis' 23rd, 24th supervised Replay Review of the 2014 season.

This is the 426th, 427th Instant Replay Review of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is Red Sox Manager John Farrell's 12th, 13th Replay Review of 2014.
Umpires are now 230/427 (.539 Affirmation Rate) in Replay Reviews during the 2014 MLB season.

Wrap: Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Indians, 6/2/14
Video: Play overturned; BoSox win a double play on successful challenge of out call (BOS)
Video: Play stands; Indians steal 2nd base in the 7th as Farrell's second challenge fails (BOS)

MLB Ejection & Replay Review Stats: Week 9 Sabermetrics

Ejection & Instant Replay Review Statistics and Sabermetrics are now available for MLB Week 9. As the numbers and trends solidify, Close Call Sports and the Umpire Ejection Fantasy League continues with the strategic statistics reporting, the first measure of umpire-centric sabermetrics in professional baseball. Visit Instant Replay Review Statistics 101: Week 1 Sabermetrics for an introduction to Ejection & Replay Review definitions and terms, including Review Affirmation Percentage (RAP), also known as QOC (Quality of Correctness), Replay Percentage of Success (RPS), alternatively, 1.000 - RAP = RPS, and Manager's Challenge Success Percentage (CSP). Also included is Team Success Percentage (TSP), which includes all Replay Reviews; both Manager's Challenges and Crew Chief Reviews.

With Week 9 of the MLB Regular Season in the books, the UEFL recaps traditional ejections, plus professional baseball's "this time it counts" living experiment with Instant Replay Reviews.

We begin this week's sabermetric analysis with umpire ejections.
Ejections: 71 (on pace for 204 [+8 from last wk] Ejections). (Compare to: 180 Total 2013 Ejections)
"Team most active" (Team with most Ejections): Boston Red Sox - 8 (TB, NYY, CHC - 5).
"Team least active" (Team with least Ejections): BAL, CLE, MIN, OAK, PHI, SD - 1.
"Manager ejections leader" (Manager ejected most often): Rick Renteria - 3 (1.000 QOC Y).
"Player ejections leader" (Player ejected most often): Daniel Murphy, Elvis Andrus - 2.
"Umpire leader" (Umpire with most Ejections): Dan Bellino (1.000 QOC + 3 QOCU).
"Crew most active" (Crew Chief whose crew has most Ejections): Fieldin Culbreth - 8 (.750).
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest Simple QOC): Basner, Tim Timmons - 1.000 in 3/3.
"Overall QOC percentage" (Overall QOC Y value): .745 (38 Y / 13 N) + 20 Irrecusable = 71 Total.
"Team Status Pre-Ejection" (Winning-Losing-Tied [W-L-T] Record prior to Ejection): 12-40-19.
"Team Status Post-Ejection" (Game Record [W-L]): 26-45. (Delta: 14-5; WPCT: .737).

Next up is the category of Instant Replay Reviews. Our sample size is n=425.

Key bullet points:
"Team Most Used" (Made use of Replay Review most often): Oakland A's, Chicago Cubs - 22.
"Team Least Used" (Least use of Replay): Baltimore Orioles - 7.
"Manager's Challenge Leaders" (Most challenges filed): Rick Renteria - 21 (.476 CSP).
"Most successful Manager" (Manager with highest CSP): Mike Redmond - .833 in 10/12.
"League average Manager" (Average CSP for all Managers): .497.
"Least successful Manager" (Manager with lowest CSP): Bryan Price, Terry Francona - .250.*
"Most successful team in review" (Team with highest TSP): Atlanta Braves - .727.
"Least successful team in review" (Team with lowest TSP): Cincinnati Reds - .182.
"Umpire most questioned" (Most Replay Reviews): Jim Reynolds - 13 (.615 RAP).
"Crew most questioned" (Crew Chief whose crew has most Reviews): Larry Vanover - 29 (.345).
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest RAP): Bellino, Carapazza, Guccione - 1.000 in 5/5.
"Umpire of greatest overturn" (Umpire with lowest RAP): Pat Hoberg, Dale Scott - .000 in 0/3.
"Overall affirmation or QOC percentage" (Overall RAP): .539 (229/425 Affirmed Replay Reviews).
Team Status Pre-Review (Winning or Losing prior to review [Win-Loss-Tied]): 141-174-108.
Team Status Post-Review (Game Record [W-L]): 201-222. (Delta: 60-48; WPCT: .556).

Actual data (Raw Data for Replay Reviews):

Sunday, June 1, 2014

MLB Instant Replay Review 425: Sean Barber (06)

Instant Replay Review confirmed HP Umpire Sean Barber's HBP call in the top of the 6th inning of the Pirates-Dodgers game. With one out and one on, Pirates batter Russell Martin took a 0-2 fastball from Dodgers pitcher Zack Greinke for a hit-by-pitch. Upon Replay Review as the result of a challenge by Dodgers Manager Don Mattingly, Barber's ruling was affirmed, the call was correct. At the time of the review, the Pirates were leading, 3-2. The Pirates ultimately won the contest, 5-2.

This is Sean Barber (29)'s sixth Replay Review of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is Crew Chief Eric Cooper's eighth supervised Replay Review of the 2014 season.

This is the 425th Instant Replay Review of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is Dodgers Manager Don Mattingly's 14th Replay Review of 2014.
Umpires are now 229/425 (.539 Affirmation Rate) in Replay Reviews during the 2014 MLB season.

Wrap: Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Los Angeles Dodgers, 6/1/14

MLB Ejection 071: Jerry Meals (1; Anthony Rizzo)

HP Umpire Jerry Meals ejected Cubs 1B Anthony Rizzo for arguing a strike three call in the top of the 4th inning of the Cubs-Brewers game. With none out and one on, Rizzo took three consecutive pitches from Brewers pitcher Kyle Lohse for called first, second and third strikes. Replays indicate the second called strike was located over the outer half of home plate and below the hollow of the knee (px -.681, pz 1.493 / sz_bot 1.730), the call was incorrect. At the time of the ejection, the Brewers were leading, 8-0. The Brewers ultimately won the contest, 9-0.

This is Jerry Meals (41)'s first ejection of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
Jerry Meals now has 0 points in the UEFL Standings (2 Prev + 2 MLB + -4 Incorrect = 0).
Crew Chief Jerry Meals now has 6 points in the UEFL's Crew Division (6 Prev + 0 N = 6).

This is the 71st ejection of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is the 31st player ejection of 2014. Prior to ejection, Rizzo was 0-1 in the contest.
This is the Cubs' 5th ejection of 2014, 1st in the NL Central (CHC 5; PIT, STL 3; CIN, MIL 2).
This is Anthony Rizzo's first career MLB ejection.
This is Jerry Meals' first ejection since July 29, 2013 (John Farrell; QOC = Y [Safe/Out]).

Wrap: Chicago Cubs vs. Milwaukee Brewers, 6/1/14

MLB Ejection & Replay Review: Reyburn, T Barrett (1, 07)

HP Umpire DJ Reyburn ejected Red Sox 2B Dustin Pedroia for arguing a strike two call in the bottom of the 3rd and Instant Replay Review confirmed 3B Umpire Ted Barrett's no-HR (foul ball) call in the bottom of the 8th inning of the Rays-Red Sox game. In the 3rd, with one out and one on, Red Sox batter Dustin Pedroia took a 2-1 fastball from Rays pitcher Erik Bedard for a called second strike before grounding out. Replays indicate the pitch was located over the inner edge of home plate and belt-high, the call was correct. At the time of the ejection, the contest was tied, 0-0.

In the 8th, with two out and one on, Red Sox batter Xander Bogaerts hit a 1-2 fastball from Rays pitcher Grant Balfour to deep left field and past the Green Monster foul pole. Upon Replay Review as the result of a request by Red Sox Manager John Farrell and initiation by Crew Chief Ted Barrett, Barrett's ruling was affirmed, the call was correct. At the time of the review, the Red Sox were leading, 4-0. The Red Sox ultimately won the contest, 4-0.

This is DJ Reyburn (70)'s first ejection of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is Ted Barrett (65)'s seventh Replay Review of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
DJ Reyburn now has 7 points in the UEFL Standings (3 Prev + 2 MLB + 2 Correct = 7).
Crew Chief Ted Barrett now has 3 points in the UEFL's Crew Division (2 Prev + 1 Y = 3).
This is Crew Chief Ted Barrett's 22nd supervised Replay Review of the 2014 season.

This is the 70th ejection of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is the 30th player ejection of 2014. Prior to ejection, Pedroia was 0-2 in the contest.
This is the 424th Instant Replay Review of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is the Red Sox's 8th ejection of 2014, 1st in MLB/AL East (BOS 8; NYY, TB 5; TOR 2; BAL 1).
This is Dustin Pedroia's first ejection since Aug 7, 2012 (Paul Nauert; QOC = Y [Check Swing]).
This is DJ Reyburn's first ejection since June 17, 2013 (Dale Sveum; QOC = Y [Safe/Out]).
This is Red Sox Manager John Farrell's 11th Replay Review of 2014.
Umpires are now 228/424 (.538 Affirmation Rate) in Replay Reviews during the 2014 MLB season.

Wrap: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox, 6/1/14
Video: Play confirmed; Foul ball is confirmed as Boston is denied a late home run (BOS)

MLB Instant Replay 423: Seth Buckminster (11)

Instant Replay Review upheld 1B Umpire Seth Buckminster's out call in the top of the 7th inning of the Angels-Athletics game. With none out and none on, Angels batter Hank Conger hit a 0-1 curveball from A's pitcher Sonny Gray on the ground to second baseman Eric Sogard, who threw to first baseman Alberto Callaspo as Conger arrived at first base. Upon Replay Review as the result of a challenge by Angels Manager Mike Scioscia, Buckminster's ruling was affirmed, the call was correct. At the time of the review, the Athletics were leading, 6-2. The Athletics ultimately won the contest, 6-3.

This is Seth Buckminster (67)'s 11th Replay Review of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is Crew Chief Fieldin Culbreth's 22nd supervised Replay Review of the 2014 season.

This is the 423rd Instant Replay Review of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is Angels Manager Mike Scioscia's 18th Replay Review of 2014.
Umpires are now 227/423 (.536 Affirmation Rate) in Replay Reviews during the 2014 MLB season.

Wrap: Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim vs. Oakland Athletics, 6/1/14
Video: Play stands; Bang-bang play at first is upheld as an out during the LA-OAK game (LAA)

MLB Instant Replay Review 422: Hunter Wendelstedt (05)

Instant Replay Review confirmed HP Umpire Hunter Wendelstedt's Rule 7.13 violation no-call (out) in the bottom of the 3rd inning of the Tigers-Mariners game. With two out and two on, Mariners baserunner R3 Willie Bloomquist attempted to steal home off Tigers catcher Bryan Holaday, who threw to shortstop Danny Worth to Holaday as Bloomquist arrived at home plate. Upon Replay Review as the result of a request by Mariners Manager Lloyd McClendon and initiation by Crew Chief Jerry Layne, Wendelstedt's ruling was affirmed, the call was correct. At the time of the review, the Mariners were leading, 1-0. The Mariners ultimately won the contest, 4-0.

This is Hunter Wendelstedt (21)'s 5th Replay Review of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is Crew Chief Jerry Layne's 20th supervised Replay Review of the 2014 season.

This is the 422nd Instant Replay Review of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is Mariners Manager Lloyd McClendon's 17th Replay Review of 2014.
Umpires are now 226/422 (.535 Affirmation Rate) in Replay Reviews during the 2014 MLB season.

Wrap: Detroit Tigers vs. Seattle Mariners, 6/1/14
Video: Play confirmed; No violation of the collision rule results in out on CS play at the plate (SEA)

MLB Replay Reviews 420-421: Dave Rackley (01-02)

Instant Replay Review upheld 1B Umpire David Rackley's out calls in the top of the 3rd and bottom of the 8th innings of the Twins-Yankees game. In the 3rd, with none out and one on, Twins batter Brian Dozier hit a 1-1 fastball from Yankees pitcher Chase Whitley on the ground to second baseman Brian Roberts, who threw to first baseman Kelly Johnson as Dozier arrived at first base. Upon Replay Review as the result of a challenge by Twins Manager Ron Gardenhire, Rackley's ruling was affirmed, the call was correct. At the time of the review, the contest was tied, 0-0.

In the 8th, with two out and none on, Yankees batter Brett Gardner hit a 3-2 fastball from Twins pitcher Phil Hughes on the ground to first baseman Joe Mauer, who threw to Hughes as Gardner arrived at first base. Upon Replay Review as the result of a challenge by Yankees Manager Joe Girardi, Rackley's ruling was affirmed, the call was correct. At the time of the review, the Yankees were leading, 2-1. The Twins ultimately won the contest, 7-2.

This is David Rackley (86)'s 1st, 2nd Replay Review of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is Crew Chief Brian Gorman's 18th, 19th supervised Replay Review of the 2014 season.

This is the 420th, 421st Instant Replay Review of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is Twins Manager Ron Gardenhire's 13th Replay Review of 2014.
This is Yankees Manager Joe Girardi's 15th Replay Review of 2014.
Umpires are now 225/421 (.534 Affirmation Rate) in Replay Reviews during the 2014 MLB season.

Wrap: Minnesota Twins vs. New York Yankees, 6/1/14
Video: Play stands; Gardy's challenge proves fruitless on tricky play in the third (MIN)

MLB Replay Reviews 418-419: Barry, Fagan (02, 06)

Instant Replay Review confirmed 2B Umpire Scott Barry's out call and overturned HP Umpire Clint Fagan's score-the-run call (time play) in the top of the 2nd inning of the Rangers-Nationals game. With two out and two on, Rangers baserunner R1 Alex Rios attempted to steal second base off Nationals catcher Wilson Ramos, who threw to second baseman Danny Espinoza as Rios arrived at second base and Rangers baserunner R3 Elvis Andrus arrived at home plate. Upon Replay Review as the result of simultaneous challenges by Rangers Manager Ron Washington and Nationals Manager Matt Williams, Barry's ruling was affirmed (TEX), the call was correct, and Fagan's ruling was reversed (WAS), the call was incorrect. At the time of the reviews, the Rangers were leading, 1-0. The Rangers ultimately won the contest, 2-0.

This is Scott Barry (87)'s second Replay Review of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is Clint Fagan (82)'s sixth Replay Review of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is Crew Chief Jeff Nelson's 16th, 17th supervised Replay Review of the 2014 season.

This is the 418th, 419th Instant Replay Review of the 2014 MLB Regular Season.
This is Rangers Manager Ron Washington's 15th Replay Review of 2014.
This is Nationals Manager Matt Williams' 13th Replay Review of 2014.
Umpires are now 223/419 (.532 Affirmation Rate) in Replay Reviews during the 2014 MLB season.

Wrap: Texas Rangers vs. Washington Nationals, 6/1/14
Video: Play confirmed, in part, overturned: First simultaneous challenge of year goes Nats' way (WAS)