Monday, July 7, 2014

MLB Ejection & Replay Review Stats: Week 14 Sabermetrics

Ejection & Instant Replay Review Statistics and Sabermetrics are now available for MLB Week 14. As the numbers and trends solidify, Close Call Sports and the Umpire Ejection Fantasy League continues with the strategic statistics reporting, the first measure of umpire-centric sabermetrics in professional baseball. Visit Instant Replay Review Statistics 101: Week 1 Sabermetrics for an introduction to Ejection & Replay Review definitions and terms, including Review Affirmation Percentage (RAP), also known as QOC (Quality of Correctness), Replay Percentage of Success (RPS), alternatively, 1.000 - RAP = RPS, and Manager's Challenge Success Percentage (CSP). Also included is Team Success Percentage (TSP), which includes all Replay Reviews; both Manager's Challenges and Crew Chief Reviews.

With Week 14 of the MLB Regular Season in the books, the UEFL recaps traditional ejections, plus professional baseball's "this time it counts" living experiment with Instant Replay Reviews.

We begin this week's sabermetric analysis with umpire ejections. Games Played: 1322 of 2430.
Ejections: 115 (on pace for 211 [-3 from last wk] Ejections). (Compare to: 180 Ejections in 2013)
"Team most active" (Team with most Ejections): Boston Red Sox - 10 (Rockies, Rangers - 7).
"Team least active" (Team with least Ejections): CLE Indians, LA Angels, WAS Nationals - 1.
"Manager ejections leader" (Manager ejected most often): Rick Renteria, Ron Gardenhire - 4.
"Player ejections leader" (Player ejection leader): Andrus, Kemp, Murphy, Tulowitzki - 2.
"Umpire leader" (Umpire with most Ejections): Jordan Baker, Dan Bellino, Bill Miller - 5.
"Crew most active" (Crew Chief whose crew has most Ejections): Bill Miller - 12.
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest Simple QOC): Basner, Carlson, Timmons, G Gibson - 1.000.
"Overall QOC percentage" (Overall QOC Y value): .759 (63 Y / 20 N) + 32 Irrecusable = 115 Total.
"Team Status Pre-Ejection" (Winning-Losing-Tied [W-L-T] Record prior to Ejection): 26-61-28.
"Team Status Post-Ejection" (Game Record [W-L]): 43-72. (Delta: 17-11; WPCT: .607).

Next up is the category of Instant Replay Reviews.
Replay Reviews & Decisions Rendered: 671 (on pace for 1,233 [-2 from last wk] Replay Reviews)
- Crew Chief Reviews (Replay Reviews initiated by the Umpire Chief): 113 (18%), .699 RAP.
- Manager's Challenges (Replay Reviews initiated by the Club Manager): 558 (83%), .484 RAP.
"Team Most Used" (Made use of Replay Review most often): Tampa Bay Rays - 34.
"Team Least Used" (Least use of Replay): Milwaukee Brewers - 13.
"Manager's Challenge Leaders" (Most challenges filed): Joe Maddon - 34.
"Most successful Manager" (Manager with highest CSP): Mike Redmond - .813 (13/16).
"League average Manager" (Average CSP for all Managers): .515.
"Least successful Manager" (Manager with lowest CSP): Mike Matheny - .154 (2/13).
"Most successful team in review" (Team with highest TSP): Atlanta Braves - .714 (10/14).
"Least successful team in review" (Team with lowest TSP): St. Louis Cardinals - .222 (4/18).
"Umpire most questioned" (Most Replay Reviews): Bob Davidson - 16 (.625 RAP).
"Crew most questioned" (Crew Chief whose crew has most Reviews): Jerry Layne - 42 (.643 RAP).
"Most accurate umpire" (Umpire with greatest RAP): Dan Bellino - 1.000 in 7/7.
"Ump of greatest overturn" (Umpire with lowest RAP): Jeff Kellogg - .000 in 0/4.
"Overall affirmation or QOC percentage" (Overall RAP): .520 (349/671 Affirmed Replay Reviews).
Team Status Pre-Review (Winning or Losing prior to review [Win-Loss-Tied]): 222-277-167.
Team Status Post-Review (Game Record [W-L]): 305-361. (Delta: 83-84; WPCT: .497).

Actual data (Raw Data for Replay Reviews):


- By Inning: 9 (90), 8 (86), 7 (79), 6 (78), 5 (76), 3 (71), 1 (60), 4 (59), 2 (51), Extra Innings (20).
- By Type: Safe/Out (506), HR/Not HR (56), Rule 7.13 (35), HBP/Foul (22), Catch/Trap (15).
- By Day of Week: Sun (123), Sat (107), Wed (104), Fri (96), Mon (83), Tues (81), Thurs (77).

Teams Most Used - Quantity of Replay Reviews (both Crew Chief & Manager's Challenge)
1. Tampa Bay Rays: 34 (5 Crew Chief Reviews [.800 RAP], 29 Challenges [.655 RAP]).
2. Toronto Blue Jays: 33 (4 Crew Chief Reviews [1.000 RAP], 29 Challenges [.690 RAP]).
3. Chicago Cubs: 31 (2 Crew Chief Reviews [1.000 RAP], 29 Challenges [.517 RAP]).
4. Oakland Athletics: 27 (13 Crew Chief Reviews [.615 RAP], 14 Challenges [.500 RAP]).
5. Pittsburgh Pirates: 26 (5 Crew Chief Reviews [.800 RAP], 21 Challenges [.429 RAP]).
5. San Francisco Giants: 26 (2 Crew Chief Reviews [.500 RAP], 24 Challenges [.333 RAP]).

Most Successful Managers - Managers with Highest CSP
*1. Jeff Banister (Pittsburgh Pirates Acting Manager): 1.000 (1/1 Challenge Overturned).
*1. Don Wakamatsu (Seattle Mariners Acting Manager): 1.000 (1/1 Challenge Overturned).
*1. Jerry Narron (Milwaukee Brewers Acting Manager): 1.000 (1/1 Challenge Overturned).
4. Mike Redmond (Miami Marlins): .813 (13/16 Challenges Overturned).
5. Fredi Gonzalez (Atlanta Braves): .714 (10/14 Challenges Overturned).
6. Joe Girardi (New York Yankees): .706 (12/17 Challenges Overturned).
7. Ned Yost (Kansas City Royals): .696 (16/23 Challenges Overturned).
8. Bruce Bochy (San Francisco Giants): .667 (16/24 Challenges Overturned).
9. Brad Ausmus (Detroit Tigers): .600 (12/20 Challenges Overturned).
9. Matt Williams (Washington Nationals): .600 (12/20 Challenges Overturned).

Least Successful Managers - Managers with Lowest CSP
*1. Gene Lamont (Oakland Athletics Acting Manager): .000 (0/1 Challenge Overturned).
2. Mike Matheny (St. Louis Cardinals): .154 (2/13 Challenges Overturned).
3. Bryan Price (Cincinnati Reds): .250 (3/12 Challenges Overturned).
4. John Gibbons (Toronto Blue Jays): .310 (9/29 Challenges Overturned).
5. Joe Maddon (Tampa Bay Rays): .345 (10/29 Challenges Overturned).
6. Terry Collins (New York Mets): .375 (6/16 Challenges Overturned).
7. Terry Francona (Boston Red Sox): .421 (8/19 Challenges Overturned).
8. Walt Weiss (Colorado Rockies): .429 (9/21 Challenges Overturned).
9. Mike Scioscia (LA Angels): .467 (7/15 Challenges Overturned).
9. Robin Ventura (Chicago White Sox): .467 (7/15 Challenges Overturned).

Team Success Percentage - TSP
1. ATL - .714 (10/14).
2. KC - .680 (17/25).
3. MIA - .667 (14/21).
4. SF - .654 (17/26).
5. NYY - .632 (12/19).
6. MIL - .615 (8/13).
7. BAL - .600 (12/20).
8. DET - .591 (13/22).
9. TEX - .571 (12/21).
10. HOU - .563 (9/16).
11. WAS - .560 (14/25).
12. LAD - .542 (13/24).
13. BOS - .522 (12/23).
14. PIT - .500 (13/26).
League Average - .480 (322/671).
15. MIN - .476 (10/21).
16. SD, CWS - .471 (8/17).
18. COL - .458 (11/24).
19. CHC - .452 (14/31).
20. OAK - .444 (12/27).
21. PHI - .429 (9/21).
22. NYM - .421 (8/19).
23. LAA - .409 (9/22).
24. CLE, ARI - .391 (9/23).
26. SEA - .333 (8/24).
27. TB - .324 (11/34).
28. TOR - .273 (9/33).
29. CIN - .235 (4/17).
30. STL - .222 (4/18).

Umpire Accuracy - Review Affirmation Percentage (RAP Ranking)
1. Dan Bellino - 1.000 (7/7).
2. Chris Guccione - 1.000 (6/6).
3. David Rackley - 1.000 (2/2).
4. John Hirschbeck - 1.000 (1/1).
5. Vic Carapazza - .857 (6/7).
6. Mike Estabrook, Scott Barry, Eric Cooper - .833.
9. Will Little - .818 (9/11).
10. Jordan Baker - .800 (4/5).
11. Hunter Wendelstedt - .778 (7/9).
12. Tim Timmons - .769 (10/13).
13. Greg Gibson, Brian Knight, Chris Segal - .750.
16. Mark Ripperger - .714 (5/7).
17. Adam Hamari, Todd Tichenor, Alfonso Marquez, Paul Nauert - .667.
21. Manny Gonzalez, Jim Reynolds - .643.
23. Bob Davidson, Bill Miller, Tripp Gibson - .625.
26. Jerry Meals, Mike Everitt, Jim Wolf - .600.
29. Quinn Wolcott, Larry Vanover, Mark Wegner, Clint Fagan - .583.
...
League Average - .520.
...
75. Gary Cederstrom, James Hoye - .286.
77. Adrian Johnson - .273.
78. Seth Buckminster - .267.
79. Marty Foster, John Tumpane, Tony Randazzo - .250.
82. Tim Welke - .222.
83. Toby Basner - .167.
84. Tom Woodring, Stu Scheurwater, Jeff Kellogg, Jeff Gosney - .000.

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